Rebels with a cause

Rebels with a cause

Excl: Expelled Tory rebels plotting to oust Boris Johnson as an MP by running a candidate against him in his Uxbridge marginal seathttps://t.co/inaQ9St31N — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) September 12, 2019 Will the voters in Uxbridge & South Ruislip practise safe X to avoid waking up with a blonde and deep regrets the morning after the next GE? The Sun report that EXPELLED Tory rebels are plotting to oust Boris Johnson as an MP by running a candidate against him,…

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The next general election vote shares by party betting

The next general election vote shares by party betting

Ladbrokes have markets on the GB vote shares for the Tories, Labour, and Lib Dems at the next general election. I’m sitting out this market for the time being for a variety of reasons mainly to do, but not exclusively, with We’re not sure when it will be, it could be weeks or it could be years away. Nor do we know the circumstances of the election. Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister or Leader of the Opposition at the…

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The man who helped stop a No Deal Brexit earlier this year is confident there is a majority in Parliament for dealing with Brexit first and having an election after

The man who helped stop a No Deal Brexit earlier this year is confident there is a majority in Parliament for dealing with Brexit first and having an election after

If you’re betting against a 2019 general election (and expecting another referendum) then Oliver Letwin has great news for you. There’s a fascinating interview with Oliver Letwin today, the man who helped prevent a No Deal Brexit earlier on this year. Who’s the most powerful politician in Britain? Usually it’s the Prime Minister. But not always, and not today. Thanks to his mistakes of the past fortnight, Boris Johnson has made himself the prisoner of Parliament. He can’t go forward, can’t retreat…

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The stark reality of the challenge facing Boris Johnson if he wants to win Labour held seats that backed Leave

The stark reality of the challenge facing Boris Johnson if he wants to win Labour held seats that backed Leave

This should scare the sh*t out of Number 10 https://t.co/1buBaBDotI — Matt Goodwin (@GoodwinMJ) September 12, 2019 Consider how deep into Labour territory Johnson may have to dig to offset losses in Scotland, London & southern Remainia. Some big shifts likely required among Lab voters who culturally agree w/ Cons on Brexit but economicallyare v v sceptical about whether Cons "on their side" — Matt Goodwin (@GoodwinMJ) September 12, 2019 Looking through the information released so far it shows that…

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A Very English Vice

A Very English Vice

Where would we be without hypocrisy? It may have been described (by a Frenchman, unsurprisingly) as “the tribute vice pays to virtue” but a life of complete virtue would be, frankly, intolerable. So let’s enjoy the various hypocrisies our leaders have served up to us in recent weeks:- Mrs May honouring her former press secretary, Robbie Gibb, with a knighthood having, rather nastily, attacked Cameron’s press secretary, Craig Oliver, for his own. However hard poor Sir Robbie worked, a good press…

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If Boris Johnson hopes to win Labour seats at the general election then he needs to improve his approval ratings with GE2017 Labour voters

If Boris Johnson hopes to win Labour seats at the general election then he needs to improve his approval ratings with GE2017 Labour voters

The Cummings and Johnson strategy has been clear for a while, sacrifice Tory seats in Scotland and Remain leaning seats elsewhere whilst winning a lot of Labour held seats that vote Leave. It is an interesting strategy that may work but looking at those numbers from the latest Opinium poll will make for sober reading for Cummings and Johnson. My own belief is that Labour voters are tribal and loyal and the jump to the Tories will not happen in…

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Sporting Index open their general election seat markets

Sporting Index open their general election seat markets

My approach to the spreads is to snog the Lib Dems, marry the Greens & the Brexit Party, and avoid the Tories & Labour. I really enjoy spread betting, it is fun laced with huge risk which makes it fun, and allows you to open and close positions long before election day, plus in the past it has been very profitable so I’m glad Sporting Index have opened up these markets. I’ve spent the last few hours looking at this…

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The Case of the Missing Documents

The Case of the Missing Documents

One of the votes lost by the government shortly before Parliament was prorogued was in relation to a demand that it provide by Wednesday 11 September correspondence and communications (defined very widely) sent to or from 9 named people since 23 July “relating to the prorogation of Parliament”. There has been much fuss made about the demand for communications made on personal phones or via various message services as if this were an intolerable intrusion into people’s privacy and/or a breach…

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