Tonight has done nothing to move the GE2019 betting

Tonight has done nothing to move the GE2019 betting

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This was all about reassuring your own party’s supporters I would guess that the vast majority of those who watched the QuestionTime Special had made up their minds about the election before the evening started. But it was an important programme and will almost certainly be the toughest questioning that any of the four will face before December 12th. My view is that this format is better than a debate and for those complaining about a biased audience then who…

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Starting at 7pm the BBC QuestionTime special which sees four party leaders being grilled by the audience

Starting at 7pm the BBC QuestionTime special which sees four party leaders being grilled by the audience

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The running order is: 7pm Corbyn 7.30pm Sturgeon 8pm Swinson 8.30pm Johnson It was at a similar event ahead of GE2017 when I thought TMay lost her majority. It was her “There’s no magic money tree” response to the nurse who had not had a pay rise for several years. I think tonight is going to be challenging for all four of them. My guess is that the second hour will get the biggest audience. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

Biden now back as favourite for the Democratic nomination

Biden now back as favourite for the Democratic nomination

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But this is more about Warren-Buttiegieg switching than a Biden Renaissance The betdata.io chart tells the story of the fight for the Democratic nomination over the past few months and tracks the rise and fall of Elizabeth Warren. At one stage the Senator from Massachusetts was rated at more than a 50% chance on Betfair. Her decline was triggered by a forensic attack on her by Mayor Pete in the October TV debate when he pressed on the funding for…

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ALMOST THREE YEARS! We Have Simply Had Enough! Get Back To Work!

ALMOST THREE YEARS! We Have Simply Had Enough! Get Back To Work!

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A1 guest slot by The Green Machine It’s been all three years (since January 2017) that the Northern Ireland government has been in their work place, why? Well, first of all things haven’t been the same since the days of the Irish Chuckle Brothers (Martin McGuinness & Ian Paisley). It’s hard to believe that these two bitter rivals for around 30 years were very close friends in the end. They done more together than the public think. In 2014, Ian…

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New constituency poll for LAB-held Great Grimsby looks dire for the incumbent

New constituency poll for LAB-held Great Grimsby looks dire for the incumbent

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NEW: We conducted a telephone method constituency poll on behalf of @TheEconomist in Great Grimsby. Results have now been published and so under @BritPollingCncl rules we are releasing the results and tables. Get the data:https://t.co/MGMPa2op5U pic.twitter.com/zfbawhHIZL — Survation. (@Survation) November 21, 2019 Like all seat polls this has a very small sample (401) but the overall figures look promising for the Tories in one of its key northern targets and bad for LAB. Looking at the detailed data LAB is…

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The November WH2020 Democratic debate and another reminder that they do these things better in the country where Boris was born

The November WH2020 Democratic debate and another reminder that they do these things better in the country where Boris was born

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Biden makes another gaffe so situation normal Overnight we have had the latest Democratic party debate as part of the prolonged process to determine who should fight against Donald Trump in the presidential election next November. The event took place after a weekend that had seen new polling in Iowa and New Hampshire showing the 37 year old former Rhodes Scholar, Pete Buttiegieg, moving to clear leads in Iowa and New Hampshire – the first two states to decide. Their…

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Swinson’s Choice

Swinson’s Choice

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There is an ancient tradition in Britain of beating the bounds, where once a year, various members of the community walk the boundaries of their parish to fix its location and protect it from encroachment. In some cases, they would take boys and whip them, with the intent that such a traumatic event would be fixed in their memory. The general elections of 2015 and 2017 were certainly traumatic events for the Liberal Democrats, and they clearly still weigh heavily…

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