Get ready for Bernie to feel the heat over threatening Obama’s re-election at WH2012

Get ready for Bernie to feel the heat over threatening Obama’s re-election at WH2012

Comments 0 Comment

The issue his opponents hope will impede his bandwagon. So for in this fight for the Democratic nomination the current front manner, Bernie Sanders has escaped being the one the other candidates most like to attack. Last week in the pre-Nevada debate it was Michael Bloomberg who came under fire for his apparent attempts to use his billions to, as was described, buy the election. Now with Bernie taking a clear lead in the delegate count and looking as though…

Read More Read More

Ladbrokes make Sturgeon going his year an 11/10 bet

Ladbrokes make Sturgeon going his year an 11/10 bet

Comments 0 Comment

Are we heading for an SNP leadership contest? With rumours swelling that Scotland’s First Minister is to resign, the bookies make Sturgeon 11/10 to have left her post before the end of 2020, however it is odds-on at 4/6 she is still in charge. Sturgeon’s problem is that her party is very much divided and next year Scotland goes to the polls to elect a new Scottish Parliament when issues such as how the SNP has run the country for…

Read More Read More

Are we being premature writing off Bernie’s chances against Trump?

Are we being premature writing off Bernie’s chances against Trump?

Comments 0 Comment

The latest betting on Betfair has Trump as a 59% chance of being re-elected in November. This reflects a widespread view that Sanders is going to win the nomination but that when it comes to the election itself he’ll prove to be unelectable. Maybe that’s why the overall outcome betting has now moved towards Trump and certainly I have my doubts about the Dems choosing a candidate who would be 80 a few months after becoming president if elected. But…

Read More Read More

Ladbrokes make it 2/1 that RLB will finish third behind Starmer and Nandy in its leadership finishing order betting

Ladbrokes make it 2/1 that RLB will finish third behind Starmer and Nandy in its leadership finishing order betting

Comments 0 Comment

Ladbrokes have this market on the correct finishing order in the Labour leadership market after the final round. The tweets by Matt Singh indicate that Rebecca Long Bailey is going to finish last but I’m always dubious when people talk about private polls and do not publish the polling tables. At 2/1, Starmer first, Nandy second, and Long Bailey third, it’s not exactly stellar odds when you remember the last public poll had Long Bailey in second place 25% ahead…

Read More Read More

Is the monarchy in trouble?

Is the monarchy in trouble?

Comments 0 Comment

The British monarchy has its origins so far back in time, it’s easy to forget just how old it is. Its roots – in both Anglo-Saxon England and the ancient Kingdom of Alba – stretch back well over 1,000 years and it’s now comfortably into its third millennium. So, you could be forgiven for thinking it’s as stable and enduring as the rocks that form these islands themselves. You’d be wrong. The monarchy – as an institution – is far…

Read More Read More

Bernie heading for big Nevada victory and is going to be hard to stop winning the nomination

Bernie heading for big Nevada victory and is going to be hard to stop winning the nomination

Comments 0 Comment

The only way he can be fail, surely, is if there’s an agreement on a single centrist contender This post from @Nigelb sums it up: Both billionaire egotists have declared there sticking around for Super Tuesday, so I think that’s it. Biden is weak enough that it would be a poor gamble for (say) Buttigieg to drop out and endorse him… and Warren on 9% just thanked Nevada for “keeping her in the race”…This race is analogous to the last…

Read More Read More

Bernie edges to odds-on for the nomination as the Nevada caucuses get ready to start

Bernie edges to odds-on for the nomination as the Nevada caucuses get ready to start

Comments 0 Comment

It’s another big night in the fight for he WH2010 Democratic nomination with the caucuses in Nevada. We should start getting results at about 0300 GMT. Bernie goes into this latest with a very clear lead in the caucus polling. The latest RCP polling average is: Sanders 32.5% Buttigieg 16% Biden 16% Warren 14% Klobuchar 9.5% If the Sanders numbers are in line with the polling then I agree with David Herdson view in the previous thread. Mike Smithson

Early voting and a split field mean Sanders should be clear odds-on for the Dem nomination

Early voting and a split field mean Sanders should be clear odds-on for the Dem nomination

Comments 0 Comment

Only a health scare is likely to stop him now Inevitably, all eyes on the race for the Democrat nomination are trained today on Nevada, which today becomes the third state to vote in the contest. Except it doesn’t. There’s still far too much attention paid in the media to ‘election day’ itself, which is now a highly misleading concept. Early voting has transformed how elections are conducted by both the public and political parties / candidates, (both here and…

Read More Read More