David Herdson’s tip for Dem running mate: Julian Castro at 25/1

David Herdson’s tip for Dem running mate: Julian Castro at 25/1

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Predicting running-mates is notoriously difficult but he ticks the right boxes US Vice Presidents have four main jobs. Firstly, once elected, they are the president’s most senior dogsbody; picking up the jobs that the president might do were he interested or have time, but where is doesn’t or hasn’t. Usually that means attending state funerals but for the moment it also appears to encompass praying for salvation against pandemics. Secondly if necessary – and it might well be next year…

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UK total up 47 to 163

UK total up 47 to 163

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Coronavirus: 47 new cases confirmed – taking UK total to 163 https://t.co/kqwvbw7xPU — Sky News (@SkyNews) March 6, 2020 While the worldwide total tops 100k Mike Smithson

How long before a UK coronavirus death does not make the front pages

How long before a UK coronavirus death does not make the front pages

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There’ll come a time when this is no longer news Inevitably the first UK death from the corona virus is a major milestone for the country as it faces an ever expanding total of people who have been affected. Quite a few countries experienced their first death some time ago and it seems that the UK’s only just catching up. Maybe that’s because it has been later to start here? One thing is for sure that is that as soon…

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Starmer now a 94% chance on Betfair to be the next LAB leader

Starmer now a 94% chance on Betfair to be the next LAB leader

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With less than a month to go until the LAB leadership contest ends Starmer moves up to a 94% chance on Betfair  – odds that suggest that he’s a near certainty.  The contest has gone on for so long and the outcome apparently a foregone conclusion for many many weeks now that it is hardly getting any attention. The big question that will soon be asked is how he’s going to against Johnson and how is politics going to change…

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Now former odds-on betting favourite, Elizabeth Warren, quits the race

Now former odds-on betting favourite, Elizabeth Warren, quits the race

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BREAKING: Elizabeth Warren is dropping out of the presidential race, ending a campaign that at one point seemed poised to win the Democratic nominationhttps://t.co/N8NE1MlcvA — BuzzFeed News (@BuzzFeedNews) March 5, 2020 Back in October Warren was the 52% favourite on Betfair So now its down to the two very old men are not far from 80 Mike Smithson

WH2020: The betting markets move against there being a brokered convention

WH2020: The betting markets move against there being a brokered convention

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This is a market that so far we have not featured on PB – will a candidate get a majority of the pledged delegates? This is the market definition: “Will a Democratic Presidential Nominee candidate reach a majority, more than half, of pledged delegates after the results of the last Primary to officially declare? Delegate count will be taken from The Democratic Party. This market will be settled once all primary results have been officially declared by the Democratic Party….

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