The rise and rise of Rishi Sunak as seen on the Betfair exchange

The rise and rise of Rishi Sunak as seen on the Betfair exchange

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What is really incredible about the Richi Sunak is that barely anybody had heard of him just 6 months ago. Now he is barely off the front pages, one of the key faces of the Johnson government and miles ahead of anybody else in the betting for Johnson’s successor as Conservative leader. Increasingly he is looking like the PM in waiting should something happen to Johnson in the short or long-term. It was in November less than 6 months ago…

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Biden way ahead in tonight’s four big primaries

Biden way ahead in tonight’s four big primaries

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Arizona, Florida, Illinois, and Ohio look set to give him big victories When the timetable of primaries for this year’s presidential election came out a lot of people were looking at tonight as being when the race would finally be resolved. That is no longer the case because Joe Biden effectively wrapped up the nomination at the start of the month on Super Tuesday. The big question now is how long is Bernie Sanders gong to stay in the race…

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Budgeting for a crisis

Budgeting for a crisis

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It used to be that after a Budget the days and papers would be full of analysis and reactions and, often, the discovery of nasty surprises or other changes backfiring on the government. (Remember Osborne’s “pasty tax” or Hammond’s NI surprise?) Not this year, obviously. The measures introduced in the Budget to help deal with the economic consequences of the coronavirus, however welcome, now seem too little for the scale of the task. In summary (the details are here – in sections…

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My bets over the past couple of days – Ed Davey and Matt Hancock

My bets over the past couple of days – Ed Davey and Matt Hancock

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Hancock for next CON leader and PM: Davey for LD leadership I understand that the LD leadership contest to find a successor to Jo Swinson will take place in May though, clearly, there will be nothing like the level of hustings meetings that we’d normally see.I understand that the LD leadership contest to find a successor to Jo Swinson will take place in May though, clearly, there will be nothing like the level of hustings meetings that we’d normally see….

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After the fall

After the fall

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If shrunk to a comparable size, the earth would be smoother than a ping pong ball.  The earth’s atmosphere is thinner than the skin on a ping pong ball. Most of the time we forget how much our whole life is lived in a tiny margin and how dependent we are on its seeming stability. Life does not feel stable now.  Whole countries are being quarantined, the banalities of international travel are shuddering to a halt.  In War Of The…

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Back in the world of political betting Biden confirms that his VP pick will be a woman

Back in the world of political betting Biden confirms that his VP pick will be a woman

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Given that 77 year old ex-VP, Joe Biden, is increasingly looking like a certainty for the Democratic nomination the main WH2020 betting market of interest has become who he will choose as his VP nominee. This is generally a personal choice of the nominee to be put before the party convention for approval.Because of his age, 77, there’ll be a greater interest than usual and the choice needs to add to the overall ticket. In the latest TV debate last…

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