For decades the standard Tory election PlayBook has been to demonise whoever the LAB leader is. How will they do that with Starmer?

For decades the standard Tory election PlayBook has been to demonise whoever the LAB leader is. How will they do that with Starmer?

The former DPP presents a bigger challenge In just about every general election in recent times a key Tory approach has been to demonise the the Labour leader in order to frighten voters not to vote for the party. That big broad approach more than anything was why Johnson won a clear majority last December. Just go back to the way Michael Foot was portrayed at GE1983, Kinnock at GE1987 and GE1992 and more recently Brown at GE2010 and EdM…

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Starmer overtakes Johnson in latest YouGov leader ratings

Starmer overtakes Johnson in latest YouGov leader ratings

Even though he’s only been LAB leader for just five and a half weeks the latest YouGov “well/badly” ratings have Starmer edging ahead of Johnson. The Standard reports: A YouGov survey carried out over the weekend found that 40 per cent of Brits believe the Labour leader is doing either “fairly well” or “very well” and 17 per cent think he is performing “fairly badly” or “very badly”. The Prime Minister is more divisive – 57 per cent think he is doing “fairly well” or “very…

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If this trend goes on Johnson’s CON government will soon have a net negative approval rating

If this trend goes on Johnson’s CON government will soon have a net negative approval rating

Ministers struggling to maintain public support The above chart is based on the weekly YouGov polling in which those sampled are asked to state whether they approve or disapprove of the government. As can be seen at the start of the lockout there was considerable backing for what Johnson had done and the policies that were being pursued. This has now moved from a net 26% to 7% in the latest survey in seven weeks. It looks as though that…

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Saving lives and protecting the NHS

Saving lives and protecting the NHS

In Lord Denning’s 1980 judgement preventing the Birmingham Six from suing the police for injuries while in custody, he stated:  “Just consider………if their action were to proceed to trial………If they won, it would mean that the police were guilty of perjury; that they were guilty of violence and threats; that the confessions were involuntary and improperly admitted in evidence; and that the convictions were erroneous…….That was such an appalling vista that every sensible person would say, ‘It cannot be right that…

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Some Tories are getting very nervy about Starmer

Some Tories are getting very nervy about Starmer

A big COVID-19 political event today has been Keir Starmer’s broadcast response as leader of the opposition to Johnson TV address to the nation last night. Such broadcasts have been an established party of political coverage since the 1960s when TV was starting to establish itself as the primary communications medium. Dehenna Davison is very new to the Commons having won Bishop Auckland from Labour at the general election just five months ago. Normally responses of opposition leaders don’t make…

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From a betting perspective the dangers of “fighting the last war”

From a betting perspective the dangers of “fighting the last war”

On Boxing Day last year, a fortnight after the Tories won an 80 seat majority, a delighted family friend declared over lunch “I couldn’t believe the result. Politics has been so unpredictable, and no-one thought Boris would win big!” He was wrong, but not completely. Despite double-digit poll leads the media had speculated about hung parliaments a hell of a lot and the betting markets had the Tories as surprisingly modest favourites. Longer than 1/2 on a majority of any…

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The Boris fan club sticks with their man but other national papers are more critical

The Boris fan club sticks with their man but other national papers are more critical

As can be seen there is quite a divide between how the papers are reporting the TV address by the PM last night. The loyalists try to take the best view for Johnson while others point to the contradictions and difficulties. We’ll get a better idea after this goes to the Commons this afternoon when this will be presented to MPs. The Keir Starmer reaction is going to be key and certainly there are some obvious issues. I thought it…

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