Whilst Betfair remains suspended we receive an ‘optimistic’ update from Trump’s doctors
TSE
Why there won’t be a President Romney
Sometimes it’s worth asking a QTWTAIN even when you know the answer The ancient Greeks gave us many things. Democracy. Really long poems. The kebab*. Proof by contradiction. Let’s combine two of them now, in a manner of speaking, to look at where the US election might be going in the light of Donald Trump contracting Covid-19. Everyone should be wishing Donald Trump well right now. Those who want him to win, for obvious reasons; those who want him to…
On the WH2020 exchange markets its Biden 62% – Trump 35%
Punters think the day’s developments are good for Biden
In March 92% of CON members thought Johnson was handling the COVID19 crisis well – that’s now down to just 28%
CONHome poll blow for Boris The above data comes from the latest monthly survey by Conservative Home and shows a dramatic decline in the assessment of party members of Johnson’s handling of the crisis. From 92% saying he was dealing with it well in March the latest figure is down to just 28%. This, remember, comes from a group that you would expect to be loyal to the man that they elected as leader barely 15 months ago. Even in…
Trump and his wife test positive
Betfair suspend next President market Big news in the last few minutes is that Trump has Tweeted that he and his wife have tested positive for coronavirus. This is what he wrote: Earlier in the night he had Tweeted that they were having a test. Clearly this will impact on the betting and Betfair have just suspended their next President market.
A month ago Trump and Biden were level-pegging in the WH2020 betting. Now there’s a big gap
In the aftermath of the Tuesday night TV debate between Trump and Biden there has been a marked change in the betting on who will win November’s White House election. The chart of the Betfair exchange market is very clear and there is little doubt that many punters that have come to the conclusion that the challenger is set to win the November 3rd election. What has impressed me is how many senior Republicans have refused to back Trump on…
The pursuit of happiness
Have you noticed that people are still having sex? The government would rather they weren’t. The louchest Prime Minister since Lord Rosebery is presiding over a government that is seeking to tightly regulate when and where we have hanky panky. It’s not just sex. At 10pm, the bars must shut. They can’t play loud music. Graciously, the government is allowing them to have live bands with vocalists, but customers aren’t allowed to sing along. Since only six people can meet together, orchestral manoeuvres must take…
The main debate message for Trump’s opponents is that there has to be a massive Biden victory – the bigger the margin the better
There’s been a huge amount of commentary and analysis following the overnight first Trump-Biden debate ahead of the November election. One of the best pieces is by David Frum in The Atlantic: Trump yelled, threatened, interrupted—and changed nothing. All he did was confirm the horror and revulsion of the large American majority that has already begun to cast its ballots against him. Correction: Trump did one thing. On the Cleveland stage, Trump communicated that he will seize any opportunity to…