Unlike the Tories LAB doesn’t need a majority to form the next government The above chart shows the movement on the Betfair “next PM” market over the past 12 months. As can be seen the big mover has been Starmer who reached a 32% chance last August but has now fallen back to just 12%. This is a hard market to call because just about the only way the LAB leader gets called to the Palace is after a general…
Surely sessions on using ZOOM would suffice? I can’t but agree the emerging view that this is politically dangerous for the government. It looks as though this is a plan designed to allow some favoured people (maybe CON MPs with directorships) to be able to get away while the rest of us have to put up with things as they are. Could it be that BoJo himself will find a way of using this exemption so he can go on…
What’s the Galloway impact going to be? Judging by the reports the Batley by-election campaign has become an increasingly nasty affair with the campaign of the Labour candidate, sister of murdered MP Jo Cox, and facing what could be seen as physical intimidation. Who has been behind this we do not know but my guess is that it might just help her. What we don’t know is whether the UKIP/CON supporting former RESPECT and LAB MP George Galloway is going…
The above polling is from the latest Opinium poll and shows how different groups feel about the PM based on their socio-economic grouping and what they did in the referendum. We know that ABC1s are the ones who are least enamored by the current occupant of Number 10 but because of the way Opinium presents its data we can break the segment down even more. I think this chart very much illustrates why the Tories really struggled in Chesham and…
The Sunday Telegraph are reporting that Dawn Butler, a prominent Jeremy Corbyn ally, denied on Saturday she was preparing to challenge Sir Keir Starmer for the Labour leadership, amid claims of a hard-Left plot to replace the Labour leader after the Batley and Spen by-election. Ms Butler, who was a frontbencher under Mr Corbyn, was seen in the West Yorkshire constituency with a camera crew last week, leading to speculation that she was putting together material for a leadership bid. Labour…
Because Matt Hancock wasn’t lying when he said he was hard at work we now have a new Health Secretary, I think this is a good appointment even before the self confessed liar Dominic Cummings denounced the appointment (after all Javid wasn’t fired by the PM, he resigned, but as usual facts are inapposite in Cummings world.) My expectation is that being Health Secretary is going be even more of a challenge than in a pre pandemic world with an…