politicalbetting.com

Punters could have been bruised by the by-election flops It is some time since we looked at the next general election betting based on Betfair and as can be seen BoJo’s team is no longer rated as a better than evens chance to win a majority. Looking at the way the market moved in May it looks as though the Tory gain from LAB in the Hartlepool by-elections was the big driver in taking the betting to a 53.3% chance….

Read More Read More

BoJo’s position not helped by the “watering down” of July 19 – so called “Freedom Day” Next Monday is going to be another COVID milestone that has become increasingly less significant the closer we get. What was promised by the PM as “freedom day” is going to end up as a massive gamble if the controls are lifted and made voluntary. The polling on this doesn’t look good and if if the infection numbers soar as predicted the PM will…

Read More Read More

There is always a clue. Sometimes more than one. Often hiding in plain sight, if only others used their eyes. On Friday, Wayne Couzens, a former Metropolitan Police officer and member of the Parliamentary and Diplomatic Protection Squad, authorised to carry a firearm, pleaded guilty to the murder of Sarah Everard earlier this year. He had earlier pleaded guilty to her kidnap and rape. The story of what he did to her is harrowing. Despite his planning and attempts to…

Read More Read More

A little bit later than usual we now have the leader approval ratings from the latest Opinium poll and the trend charts for Johnson and Starmer are above. The main feature is that the vaccine bounce that the PM enjoyed is now over and he is back in negative territory. Starmer who has a far high level of don’t knows has seen a slight improvement but he remains a net negative with no indication that this will be reversed. Opinium…

Read More Read More

It’s coming home or it’s coming Rome, either way tonight’s result will dominate the news agenda for days (and even longer if England win.) As an England fan for the last four decades England’s last two tournaments have been quite the culture shock, I’m not sure I can cope, it is the hope that kills you. Hopefully tonight England avoid putting up the worst performance against a side from Rome since the battle of Zama, that’s all I ask. As…

Read More Read More