Now it’ll be driven by the Starmer comparison polls As can be seen the next CON leader betting has got a tad tighter with Truss moving down a bit from the betting boost she got from making it to the final two. What we have not seen since last night is named leader Westminster voting polling. Which one of the two will appear to have the Tories doing better when compared to Keir Starmer? The first such polls should come…
So now we know that the next Conservative leader and Prime Minister will be either Liz Truss or Rishi Sunak. They became the names that will be put to the party membership in a postal ballot the result of which we should get in early September. One of the things about these two is that both of them are graduates from the University of Oxford. This is remarkable because the last time that a graduate of a university other than…
Was it PMQs that helped bring him down? No doubt over the next year or so we are going to see a series of academic and other studies on the downfall of Johnson who, of course, at GE2019 had the best Tory general election outcome since the Thatcher era. Arguably PMQs had its part to play his exit and it was some of his PMQ responses on “partygate” which potentially were troublesome for him. His flat assertions about the lockdown…
This is not good for Truss At the moment most of the polling focus on the Conservative leadership contest has been about views of first MPs and then the Tory Party membership. The latter of course will decide between the two agreed by the parliamentary party and we should get that tomorrow afternoon. The above polling issued this evening by Opinium looks at how each of the three remaining contenders are viewed on several measures. The person who comes out…
This follows the latest round of voting which saw: Mike Smithson
As the Wikipedia poll table shows there has been no recovery in the Tory polling position since Johnson decided to throw in the towel and step down as PM. But could that change as we get beyond September 6th which is when the new leader will start. The previous experience is that new leaders can get a significant polling bounce. Those of us who have been around long enough will remember what happened when Gordon Brown replaced Tony Blair in…
The expectation was that Tom Tugendhat would be the one to lose out in this third round of voting and so it has been. But the one who has the biggest headache is Penny Mordaunt who has seen her vote drop even though there was one fewer candidate. She should have been putting on votes at this stage because momentum is very important. For the hot favourite and leader, Sunak, this was a great round increasing his vote by 15…