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With the huge collapse in the Tory poll ratings and the terrible approval numbers for Truss there is clearly a lot of speculation going on about what happens next for the Tory Party. The first month of her job has been characterised by a massive collapse for the party in the voting polls and her recording personal ratings which are completely unprecedented. The Spectator’s Katy Balls has a column headed “Could it be Rishi by Christmas” in which she sums…

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Truss down 11 since Monday

This is from YouGov: Liz Truss is now less popular than Boris Johnson ever was. The prime minister’s popularity has plummeted following a tumultuous week in politics, leaving her less well-liked than other former party leaders at their lowest ebb. Just 14% of the public say they have a favourable impression of Truss in a YouGov survey conducted between 1-2 October, compared to more than a quarter (26%) who said so in the previous survey on 21-22 September. Nearly three…

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We will have to wait until after the Commons return next week before we can make an assessment of how much trouble LizY is in. Polling like the above from YouGov can have a corrosive effect on a leader’s reputation which is why Liz Truss must be hoping that following her big conference speech we are going to see a reverse. My guess is that these will improve for the prime minister but not by that much and the question…

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So far punters yet to be convinced by LizT Given the way the polls have moved in the last week or so this morning’s big conference speech was always going to be tricky for the new PM. Her party has dropped to its worst position for decades and so far punters don’t anticipate any change. It is a tough one for LizT to attempt to make out that hers is a new Government with the aim of seeking to put…

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It is very unusual for the Daily Mail to be anything other than totally supportive of the Tories whoever is the leader so today’s front page comes as something as a surprise. That it should be so critical is almost unprecedented. But then so are 30%+ poll leads for Labour. My guess is that the polling crisis for the new PM is something that even the Mail could not ignore and the danger for Number 10 is that this will…

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Poor Chris Philp. Not only is he being blamed by his own colleagues for suggesting the now binned cut to the 45% tax rate. But his statement at a Conference meeting that companies with fewer than 500 employees will be exempt from all business regulations has been seized upon, with some claiming that it means a complete free-for-all: companies able to discriminate, sell dangerous goods, send children up chimneys and so forth. Not so fast. All that is happening as…

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