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The country will thank the Tories if the Elections Act 2022 precedents sees the ghastly first past the post vote system replaced with something much more fairer. After all the Tory party doesn’t use FPTP to elect their leaders. In 2010 the Lib Dems asked for electoral reform plebiscite as part of the coalition agreement, now in any future parliament they or other parties will just ask for electoral reform without the need for a plebiscite. TSE

Appointing Braverman shows Sunak’s weakness I know it is gauche to talk about your winning bets but one of the reasons I felt confident on betting that premiership of Liz Truss would be brief was the absolute cabinet of talentless roasters and ideologues she assembled, primus inter pares was the appointment of Suella Braverman as Home Secretary. Normally I’m a fan of Cambridge educated lawyers, such as Ken Clarke and Geoffrey Cox but Braverman isn’t part of that illustrious company….

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Unlike Jeremy Corbyn, Sir Keir Starmer isn’t a drag on his party so Labour will be doubly confident that their party is much better liked than the Tories who are reeling from the latter end of Boris Johnson’s tenure as Prime Minister and Lady Jane Truss’s stint as Prime Minister. The one sliver of comfort for the Tories is that Sunak polls significantly better than his party, something David Cameron consistently managed for his tenure as party leader, which might…

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The voters are hard taskmasters, alas poor Liz Truss, a curious footnote in history, hopefully she will apologise to her former school which she said let her and her other students down. TSE

It is always said that the Tory Party is the most ruthless when it comes to dealing with failing leaders. That reputation will be reinforced by the events of 2022 during which so far has seen Johnson and Truss pushed aside when it became clear they had become electoral liabilities. Johnson’s fate was put in doubt when revelations about what he had done during lockdown were going down very badly with the voters. Since the start of September we have…

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Looking at the regular Smarkets next poll lead market I have to say that given the political landscape and increasing food, mortgages, and energy bills then the Tory polling is likely to remain in the toilet even though I’m expecting a modest Sunak polling boost simply because he’s not Liz Truss nor Boris Johnson. My expectation is that a Tory poll lead in the near term is likely to be as rare as a decent Radiohead single so not 2022…

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Back in July I advised against backing Boris Johnson making a comeback as Tory leader and PM because of insurmountable problems he faces, most importantly the investigation he is currently under. With the Tory polling cratering it seems the Tories are destined for a (long) stint in opposition, before he became Prime Minister I said, along with many others, that Boris Johnson is too lazy to be Prime Minister, he’s even more lazy to be Leader of the Opposition which…

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