Has Sturgeon filleted Scottish Independence?

Has Sturgeon filleted Scottish Independence?

One of the inevitable fallouts out from Nicola Sturgeon’s surprise resignation is that the SNP special conference next month might get delayed, The Guardian are reporting that Nicola Sturgeon’s resignation could prompt a major rethink around her plans to fight the next UK general election as a de facto referendum on independence, the Scottish National party’s leader in Westminster has suggested. After the shock announcement of the first minister’s departure on Wednesday, Stephen Flynn said the special conference due to be held…

Read More Read More

Starmer speaks for the nation

Starmer speaks for the nation

Before Nicola Sturgeon’s resignation yesterday’s big news was Sir Keir Starmer banning two time general election loser Jeremy Corbyn as standing as an official Labour candidate at the next general election. I think this is a smart move by Starmer as evidenced by the polling above, it is supported by the people (Tories, Lib Dems, and Leavers) who needs to win over to become Prime Minister. It shows the country that the Labour Party under Starmer has made a clean…

Read More Read More

The betting chances of a pre-2025 IndyRef move to almost zero

The betting chances of a pre-2025 IndyRef move to almost zero

This morning’s shock news that Nicola Sturgeon is stepping down as the Scottish first minister and leader of the SNP inevitably reduces what chances there were of an early second independence referendum. The move also makes it a bit easier for Scottish labour in a UK general election. It will be recalled how Scottish politics was totally changed by the initial independence referendum in September 2014. At the 2010 General Election LAB managed to secure 41 of Scotland’s 59 seats….

Read More Read More

Nicola Sturgeon to quit

Nicola Sturgeon to quit

The SNP leader and Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon is expected to resign at a press conference which is scheduled for 11 this morning. This follows a period when her leadership has come under pressure over the way that her party pushed through the highly controversial gender recognition Bill through the Scottish Parliament. This was set to lead to a massive confrontation with Westminster because the Sunak government was totally opposed to the measure. Mike Smithson

A LAB majority moves up sharply to a 62% betting chance

A LAB majority moves up sharply to a 62% betting chance

But is this taking it too far? The Smarkets chart shows how the betting on the next general election outcome has been moving and as can be seen there has been a sharpish switch to a Labour majority. This is almost totally in reaction to the opinion polls and also the three by-elections in Labour seats that we’ve had since the start of December. The big thing in British politics in the last 4 months has been the arrival of…

Read More Read More

Nikki Haley to fight Trump for the WH2024 GOP nomination

Nikki Haley to fight Trump for the WH2024 GOP nomination

What makes this interesting is that Nikki Haley was the Ambassador to the United Nations who was appointed by Trump when he was President. So she is taking on her former boss who has already declared. In the betting she has moved sharply and is now 12/1 on Betfair for the nomination. I rate her highly and believe she will give Trump a. run for his money. Mike Smithson