One of the reasons many of us haven’t felt comfortable on heavily backing a Labour majority at the next UK general election is Scotland, up to quite recently it seemed that the SNP hegemony at Westminster elections would continue, now I’m not so sure. Ever since the 2014 referendum Labour have ruined their brand in Scotland, it became Ajockalypse Now for Labour in 2015 when they were reduced from 41 MPs in Scotland to just 1 MP in Scotland. A…
If it wasn’t for the stramash over Gary Lineker there would be a lot more focus on Rishi Sunak’s deal with Emmanuel Macron on migrants crossing the Channel. If Sunak was hoping for a polling boost from the deal he may be disappointed. More people, including Tories, oppose giving France money to deal with the migrant crossings. The voters opposed are a bit like Trumpites who expected Mexico to pay for the wall. But this polling is disappointing for Sunak…
How is his action going to be viewed? The one thing that is missing so far from the Lineker story is some polling to ascertain how the public is viewing his stance and whether he has the backing that I think he thought he had. Hopefully one or two of the Sunday papers will have commissioned some polling and we should get some information overnight. I like football and I’ve always been impressed by the relaxed and accommodating way that…
It’s very rare indeed for any polling company to admit to making an error that has skewed a published poll. So rare indeed that we might speculate that whenever a polling company itself discovered an error in the past, the company concerned kept quiet and hoped that no-one else had noticed other than to assume that any unusually rogue result was down to sampling error or the like. Better to keep quiet than to suffer reputational damage by admitting an…
The big move in US Politics of late has been back to Trump for the 2024 Republican Party nomination. At the same time, there has been a decline in the betting on the Florida governor, Ron DeSantis. But there is still a long way to go and we are more than 10 months away from the first state primary. Got a feeling now that we might just be we see a rematch of 2020 Trump vs Biden – two very…
Above are the latest odds for the SNP leadership election and as can be seen this is now a two horse race between Yiusaf and Forbes. In the absence of any SNP members polling this is about the best info there is and the question is have punters got this right or not. I think Forbes is the better one when it comes to how they come over and how I think they would perform in elections. Mike Smithson