Is there money to be made backing the pollsters? Spread-betting gamblers are ignoring the recent opinion polls move to Labour and are putting their money on a Labour lead of just 1% in the popular vote on May 5th. The mid-points of the spreads on the IG Index popular vote market are: LAB 36.5: CON 35.5: LD 20.75 and the only movement in the past week has been towards the Lib Dems. If the latest NOP and ICM polls showing…
Blair boosted by more supporters saying they will vote A new poll for the Guardian tomorrow by ICM has Labour six points ahead. The headline figures are with changes on the last ICM poll: LAB 39 (+1) : CON 33(nc) : LD 21 (-1) The main drive behind the new figures is a greater desire of Labour supporters to actually vote. Those who said they would definitely go to the polling stations shot up from 52% to 59%, while the…
This picture is going the rounds following this morning’s Labour manifesto launch. Thanks to Sophia for bringing it to our attention. No doubt it will be in many of the papers
Round one of the ratings war to Michael Howard Quite what you can read into this is hard to say but more people tuned in to watch the first Tory TV election broadcast last night than Labour’s commerical featuring Tony and Gordon the night before. According to BBC Online the Conservative broadcast got 12.8m viewers while Labour’s had an audience of 11.9m. The Lib Dems’ first election PEB is on tonight. The Labour film – put together by English Patient…
Today’s Politicalbetting “BALANCE OF MONEY†prediction: Labour majority 60 (nc) Mori poll: Labour now 4% ahead Tories 5/1 to win England Not much change in the spread markets means that out Balance of Money prediction remains the same at a Labour majority of 60 seats. This is based on where the money is going and represents the balance of opinion of punters ready to back their opinions with cash. We take the mid-point Labour spread price from Spreadfair, IG Index,…
Where will they do best? We have yet to really discuss on the site the impact that the Greens will have on this election. Although we think that there will be few takers for the new Skybet market offering 100/1 against the Greens winning a Parliamentary seat there is a lot of interest on where they will perform best on May 5 – particularly as they could become the “home” for disaffected Labour supporters. For the Green watchers, the bookmaker…
Will the betting markets be able to predict these seats? The following is a list of seats where there are individual betting markets. This is being added to all the time and check the link here for updates. Where the only bookmaker is Betfair this is a betting exchange and odds are only available if other punters are prepared to put them forward. This will all look totally different in a few days time. Basingstoke Beverley + Holderness Bexley Heath…
Today’s Politicalbetting “BALANCE OF MONEY†prediction: Labour majority 60 (nc) Mori poll: Labour now 4% ahead Tories 5/1 to win England Not much change in the spread markets means that out Balance of Money prediction remains the same at a Labour majority of 60 seats. This is based on where the money is going and represents the balance of opinion of punters ready to back their opinions with cash. We take the mid-point Labour spread price from Spreadfair, IG Index,…