Is now the time to bet against Brown?

Is now the time to bet against Brown?

Is his “automatic succession” still a near certainty? Yesterday’s little Commons concession over the operation of Gordon Brown’s tax credit system is a timely reminder of what a dangerous a position the Chancellor of the Exchequer holds. For although he has had a fairly charmed life until now you cannot assume that things will continue to go well for the politician who gave up his chances of becoming Labour leader at that famous dinner at the Granita restaurant all those…

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Will South Staffs be a turning point for UKIP?

Will South Staffs be a turning point for UKIP?

Could the anti-EU party produce a sensational result tomorrow? There are increasingly bullish comments coming out of the UKIP web discussion forum about how well their campaign is going in the delayed South Staffordshire election which takes place tomorrow. If this long report by a senior party official on UKIP’s website is to be believed then tomorrow’s ballot in South Staffordshire is not the foregone conclusion for Conservatives that it might appear. In fact the contest is being set up…

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Punters pile onto David Davis

Punters pile onto David Davis

Best bookie price now 1/2 The chart shows how the best betting price on David Davis for the Tory leadership is continuing to tighten as punters see no alternative to him getting the top job. The best bookie price is 1/2 although you can still get 0.7/1 with Betfair. This compares with the 5/2 that was available on May 6th – the day that Michael Howard said that he would be standing down by the end of the year. A…

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Another good bet on South Staffordshire?

Another good bet on South Staffordshire?

Will UKIP eat into the Tory’s vote share? With just three days to go before the delayed South Staffordshire election it looks as though UKIP might do considerably better than if this election had taken place on May 5th when the rest of the UK was electing a Government. That consideration won’t apply on Thursday and it’s possible that we’ll see a big vote for UKIP which got 28% there in the Euro Elections. This could mean that there’s great…

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Will Thursday be bad for Labour in South Staffs?

Will Thursday be bad for Labour in South Staffs?

SkyBet stops taking money on Labour getting less than 30% Nearly a month ago we urged site users to make money on the postponed South Staffordshire election by betting that Labour would get less than 30% on June 23rd. At the time SkyBet were offering evens on this outcome which we felt was great value for money. Since then the price has tightened and tightened and reached 4/7 a week ago when Skybet suspended all betting on the party shares…

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Will Blair outlast Chirac?

Will Blair outlast Chirac?

What does the Euro-spat do for the Brown succession? With the leaders of the EU nations returning to their home countries after the deadlock in Brussels there’s speculation this morning that the latest Euro-mess could mean that Tony Blair will have to stay in office longer. According to Andrew Grice in the Independent today ….some Blairites are talking about their man outlasting M. Chirac, who faces re-election in 2007, as well as Mr Schröder, who seems destined for electoral defeat…

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Have you booked for next Saturday’s party?

Have you booked for next Saturday’s party?

An evening to see the faces behind the names Everything is now set for the Politicalbetting Post-General Election Party which takes place at a pub in Central London next Saturday night. Thanks to the generous sponsorship from IG Index and one or two other people who have made donations we have enough in the budget to pay for the room hire and the the food. Hopefully there will be enough left over for at least one free drink for every…

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The fight to become the main challenger to David Davis

The fight to become the main challenger to David Davis

Cameron RED: Clarke YELLOW: Fox GREEN: Lansley PINK: Rifkind BLACK How the betting has changed on the main contenders The above chart shows the changing best betting prices available on the main challengers to David Davis in the Tory leadership race. The start date is May 6th – the day after the General Election when Michael Howard surprised everybody by announcing that he would be stepping down. Since then there has been the wrangle on how his successor should be…

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