The Scottish Question

The Scottish Question

Scotland is fast becoming to British politics what Ireland was in the 19th century: a country with endless, seemingly unresolvable, political grievances and issues defying easy answers. It has voted against independence but since 2007 has voted into power a party whose raison d’ĂȘtre this is. The current travails (today’s development a whistleblower about SNP finances claiming threats by the police, whose chief retired earlier than expected shortly before Sturgeon announced her resignation) are what almost inevitably happen when a…

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How votes have moved in Esher since GE1997

How votes have moved in Esher since GE1997

The seat borders Lib Dem held Twickenham as well as Ed Davey’s Kingston seat and it is highly likely that it will be a key target for the LDs at the general election. To put the GE2019 result into contention this happened on the same day as the Tories won their near landslide majority, Raab had just about the worst result at GE2019 than for any other Tory incumbent. The boundaries are slightly different for the next election but this…

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The SNP’s rapid unscheduled disassembly continues

The SNP’s rapid unscheduled disassembly continues

These poll findings aren’t much of a surprise for those following events in Scotland. The figure that really stands out is Yousaf’s ratings amongst SNP voters. Back in 2010/11 one of the reasons many of bet and predicted the SNP would do better than the polls implied was Iain Gray’s dire ratings. Yousaf needs to improve his ratings if the SNP wants to retain power at Holyrood. Earlier on this week I said whilst we may have seen peak SNP…

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Raab’s future hangs in the balance

Raab’s future hangs in the balance

Can Sunak risk NOT sacking his deputy? Very wisely I would suggest the PM has decided to mull things over until tomorrow about what to do following the report into allegations of bullying by his deputy. It is hard to make a judgment without knowing the details but it must be worrying for Raab that he has to wait until tomorrow to find out his fate. Whatever it is very hard to envisage no action being taken and Sunak does…

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