politicalbetting.com

Will Enfield be the next Wyre Forest? Dr. Richard Taylor caused a shock when he won the Wyre Forest constituency from Labour in 2001. His success was based on a campaign to save Kidderminster Hospital. At the same time, a small political party, Kidderminster Hospital Health Concern, won a number of seats on the local council on a similar platform. Although Dr. Taylor’s majority was cut in 2005, he was the first Independent Parliamentary candidate since 1945, to win his…

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BPIX gives the Tories a 10% lead and puts the LDs on 15%? British Polling Index has carried out another of its intermittent surveys for the Mail on Sunday. The pollster has not been listed as a member of the British Polling Council and whenever I have requested further information my emails have been ignored. In its first published survey for the paper since April BPIX has the Tories on 41%, Labour 31%, with the Lib Dems at 15%. The…

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A guest contribution by Innocent Abroad A tired third-term government with a leader past his sell-by date is a recurrent theme in British politics. The Tories have been there often enough, and the Liberals too, just before World War I. This is Labour’s first experience of it – the party has never held office (discounting the wartime co-alition) for more than six years at a time before. What is new is the inability of the Tories to achieve the kind…

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Landslide victory for ApRhys Following the victories of Dai Davies and Trish Law in Blaenau Gwent, and the Conservatives just managing to see off the Lib Dems in Bromley & Chislehurst, the pb.com prediction competition has yielded a clear winner. ApRhys (post 22) chalked up a comfortable win in the overall rankings, with his score of 21.7 being well ahead of Archibald Schwarz (post 55) in second place with 27.1, and Yet Another David (post 72) in third with 36.4….

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