Will the Oscar-winning ex-VP take up the debate challenge? The current third favourite in the betting on who will be the Democratic nominee in next year’s White House Race is the failed candidate from 2000 who has yet to enter the race. Yet still the money continues to be put on Al Gore and he’s how at a not-so-generous 5.6/1. For the former Vice-President and failed candidate in 2000 has taken on a new lease of life with the climate…
Privately commissioned survey brings more bad news A YouGov survey commissioned by the Harriet Harman campaign for the deputy leadership has just been published and shows a two point drop in support for Ming’s party. Although no top line figures were issued an extrapolation from the detailed data shows the following shares with changes on the last survey from the pollster eleven days ago CON 37% (nc): LAB 32% (nc): LD 16% (-2). The survey was carried out from Tuesday…
Is it going to be a choice between the two ex-MEPs? Whether Ming Campbell or the party hierarchy like it or not the fight for the leadership has already begun. For a contest is not too far off – at the most three years away and possibly a lot lot earlier. For whatever reasons question marks hang over the Edinburgh QC and former Olympic sprinter and Thursday’s disappointing election performances only underline his difficulties. As we saw in the aftermath…
The latest thoughts from our mystery Labour MP With the elections behind us, Labour attention will shift rapidly to the change in leadership. It’s now generally accepted that there will either be no leadership contest or a Brown-McDonnell contest. There have been manoeuvres behind the scenes on the union side over this. The TGWU and Amicus leaderships see the McDonnell challenge as a distraction from the job of getting a good start with Gordon, but many activists disagree, and if…
Will the Blair family be watching today’s 14 hour marathon? The BBC Parliament channel is again devoting a bank holiday Monday to a full repeat of the corporation’s coverage of a past general election. So if you are not completely sick of election results programmes following days of intensive coverage sit back and follow today’s 14 hour marathon broadcast of the dramatic events of May 1-2 1997 when the young man who had become the Labour member for Sedgefield 14…
French election betting prices are here. Mike Smithson
A two thread morning on PBC With the ramifications of Thursday elections continuing it is this result from Cunninghame North which might be the one that Labour seeks to use get back to its position previously unassailable position as the top party in Scotland. With such a very tight margin there are reports this morning that the ousted Labour MSP might mount a challenge in an effort to get the result over-turned. The case goes beyond the standard complaint following…
Can we extrapolate in the way the Sunday Times does? Both the Sunday Times and the Sunday Telegraph carry projections this morning about what Thursday’s results would mean in general election terms. In the Telegraph Professor John Curtice of Strathclyde suggests that the CON-LAB-LD split was 40%-27%-26% which he suggests would give the Tories an overall majority of 20 seats. The Sunday Times projection of a 54 overall seat for the Tories is based on work by Professors Colin Rallings…