How the prices changed wildly during the New Hampshire count This is a chart that appeared on the Betfair site on Wednesday morning and shows the violent changes in the betting price on Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire as the news came in. The most stunning part is the sudden surge in her price to 250/1 as some early reports suggested that the polls were right and that the former First Lady was about to come in second. This records…
Will the honeymoon bets come to the aid of the NH losers? Quite a few regulars took a battering in the betting on the New Hampshire primary and I note that Peter the Punter reported losses of £1300 – ouch!. This has prompted me to look over outstanding bets and I discovered one that was very popular amongst PBers in late June and early July at the start of the Prime Minister’s extraordinary media honeymoon. For it was not only…
A look at the Forecaster of the Year numbers The above table shows the leading predictions for the “what will happen in 2008?” section – there were 106 entries altogether. Other key findings: Jacqui Smith is only predicted to remain as Home Secretary for an average 253 days, while Darling’s average predicted tenure at No 11 is 287 days. The average high/low poll figures for the parties are Labour 37/28, the Conservatives 44/35, and the Lib Dems 22/14, while the…
Will he be able to cope with the Vince Cable comparisons? The first PMQs after the Christmas recess is at noon and will be the first occasion when the young new Lib Dem leader gets his chance to put two questions to the Prime Minister. After yesterday’s 3% boost in the Lib Dem share with Populus Clegg must be feeling that bit more confident. No one will be aware more than him what happened exactly two years ago when his…
White House race turned on its head in rollercoaster evening Hillary beats Obama in major upset, ahead by 39-37 McCain winner in GOP race, leads Romney 37-32 Clinton, now down to 1.6, favourite again for nomination in frenzied trading Obama traded at 1.01 in NH after BBC “big win” report What happened with the polling for the Democrat race? UK Politics – there will be a “live PMQs thread” appearing about 11.45 ahead of Clegg’s debut appearance as Lib Dem…
Continue the discussions here as the New Hampshire results come in McCain wins GOP race Hillary leads Obama – is a major upset on the cards? PBC – the best place to be on Election Night Paul Maggs “Double Carpet” Guest Editor
Continue the discussions here as the New Hampshire results are digested This article is a “slimmed-down” one to help ease server pressure. PBC – the best place to be on Election Night Paul Maggs “Double Carpet” Guest Editor
So what will Obama’s margin be tonight and can McCain see off Romney? This article is a “slimmed-down” one to help ease server pressure – there will be another thread automatically beginning at about 1.30am – as the previous article is now past 300 comments, this thread has been brought forward. PBC – the best place to be on Election Night Paul Maggs “Double Carpet” Guest Editor