A look at the Forecaster of the Year numbers
The above table shows the leading predictions for the “what will happen in 2008?” section – there were 106 entries altogether.
Other key findings:
Jacqui Smith is only predicted to remain as Home Secretary for an average 253 days, while Darling’s average predicted tenure at No 11 is 287 days.
The average high/low poll figures for the parties are Labour 37/28, the Conservatives 44/35, and the Lib Dems 22/14, while the averages for the Tories’ largest and smallest poll leads are 14 and 0.
Thanks to everyone who entered the competition, and having the spreadsheet format has speeded up “number-crunching” the predictions by several days – good luck to all the competititors.
The full summary predictions, plus all the entries, are here – please email me at firstname.lastname@example.org if you think any of your predictions appear wrongly on the entries sheet.
Paul Maggs “Double Carpet”