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So what did you think would happen in 2008?

9/1/2008 Editor

A look at the Forecaster of the Year numbers The above table shows the leading predictions for the “what will happen in 2008?” section – there were 106 entries altogether. Other key findings: Jacqui Smith is only predicted to remain as Home Secretary for an average 253 days, while Darling’s average predicted tenure at No 11 is 287 days. The average high/low poll figures for the parties are Labour 37/28, the Conservatives 44/35, and the Lib Dems 22/14, while the…

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How will Clegg do first time out?

9/1/2008 Editor

Will he be able to cope with the Vince Cable comparisons? The first PMQs after the Christmas recess is at noon and will be the first occasion when the young new Lib Dem leader gets his chance to put two questions to the Prime Minister. After yesterday’s 3% boost in the Lib Dem share with Populus Clegg must be feeling that bit more confident. No one will be aware more than him what happened exactly two years ago when his…

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Clinton is the “comeback kid” in New Hampshire once more

9/1/2008 Editor

White House race turned on its head in rollercoaster evening Hillary beats Obama in major upset, ahead by 39-37 McCain winner in GOP race, leads Romney 37-32 Clinton, now down to 1.6, favourite again for nomination in frenzied trading Obama traded at 1.01 in NH after BBC “big win” report What happened with the polling for the Democrat race? UK Politics – there will be a “live PMQs thread” appearing about 11.45 ahead of Clegg’s debut appearance as Lib Dem…

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New Hampshire election night special… continued 2

9/1/2008 Editor

Continue the discussions here as the New Hampshire results come in McCain wins GOP race Hillary leads Obama – is a major upset on the cards? PBC – the best place to be on Election Night Paul Maggs “Double Carpet” Guest Editor

New Hampshire election night special… continued

9/1/2008 Editor

Continue the discussions here as the New Hampshire results are digested This article is a “slimmed-down” one to help ease server pressure. PBC – the best place to be on Election Night Paul Maggs “Double Carpet” Guest Editor

New Hampshire election night special

8/1/2008 Editor

So what will Obama’s margin be tonight and can McCain see off Romney? This article is a “slimmed-down” one to help ease server pressure – there will be another thread automatically beginning at about 1.30am – as the previous article is now past 300 comments, this thread has been brought forward. PBC – the best place to be on Election Night Paul Maggs “Double Carpet” Guest Editor

NH 2004: the night that prompted the creation of PBC

8/1/2008 Editor

How PBC had its origins in the last White House Race With all the discussion about the site being dominated by the White House race at the moment it is perhaps worth noting the role that New Hampshire primary in 2004 had on the creation of politicalbetting. In the weeks leading up to Iowa and NH four years ago the kinds of discussion and debate that are now common place on the site were taking place on the Betfair forums….

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The GOP Race: Why my money is on Rudy and Mike

8/1/2008 Editor

McCain is simply too old With John McCain looking set for victory in the New Hampshire primary tomorrow night there’s been a big move towards him in the betting and he is now the solid favourite for the Republican nomination. I like McCain, I think he has acquitted himself well, but I can’t but believe that his age, 72 in August, is going to be a big issue which will be magnified if he’s facing Obama who is still in…

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