Would he take a short-term hit for a long-term benefit? Another Wednesday and another PMQs for Gordon Brown to have to endure. He clearly doesn’t like them and being open every seven days to the fierce blasts that Cameron is able to master cannot be very pleasant. Ever since a piece appeared in the Indy a couple of weeks ago about Brown’s views of the weekly ritual I’ve been pondering over whether we are being softened up for a proposal…
How punters viewed the overnight developments The chart shows the changing betting prices, reflected as implied probabilities, on the Democratic nominee betting market as voting on Super Tuesday came to an end and the results started coming in. What is interesting is that the UK betting has tended to be a bit more pro-Hillary than the two betting arenas which are favoured mostly by Americans – Intrade and the Iowa Electronic Markets. Before we determine a winner from the night…
Will Obama’s find-raising capabilities eventually clinch it? What a night and at the end of it we are still no closer to working out who will be contesting the election in November. McCann did OK but not enough to make his nomination a certainty. Hillary did much better than appeared a couple of days ago and her team will be relieved at the outcomes – particularly in some of the big states. Obama will take comfort that he’s still there…
So far (0345 GMT) it’s Clinton: Arkansas, Oklahoma, Tennessee, New York, Massachusetts, New Jersey Obama: Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Alabama, North Dakota, Utah, Kansas, Connecticut, Minnesota McCain: Delaware, Illinois, New Jersey, Connecticut, New York, Oklahoma Romney: Massachusetts, Utah, North Dakota Huckabee: West Virginia, Arkansas, Alabama, Tennessee The latest betting is listed here. Mike Smithson
Who’ll have the biggest smile in the morning? Please continue the discussion here. The latest betting is listed here. Mike Smithson
Welcome to another election night on PBC This is it – the biggest political night since the 2004 Presidential Election – and it looks set to be a cliff hanger that will continue right through until tomorrow morning – UK time. To help us all this is how Politicalwire sees tonight’s Democratic races:- Advantage Clinton: Arkansas, New York, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Tennessee Advantage Obama: Alabama, Colorado, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Minnesota, Kansas, North Dakota No Clear Favorite: Alaska, Arizona,…
Should Clinton have been confirmed as nominee this week? If you have any doubt about the planning and sheer determination that has gone into Hillary’s campaign for the White House then you should look at an article at Real Clear Politics by Robert Novak. For the whole point of concertinaing the primary timetable to create “Super Tuesday” was to blast out the competition so that Clinton could effectively secure the nomination this week. Then all the effort could be focused…
Could McCain’s supporters think its safe to switch elections? An aspect of the US primary system that is probably a surprise to many outside the country is the extent to which in many states independents and supporters of the opposing party can decide to vote in a different election. So today, as we finally arrive at “Super Tuesday”, a factor we have to look at is whether this will happen and how it could affect the results. So with John…