Why we focus so much on the White House Race

Why we focus so much on the White House Race

This is where the political betting action is One or two people have emailed me in the past few days to ask why PBC is devoting so many threads and items to the White House race. The answer is in the graphic above based on screen clips I took this morning from the Betfair site. Quite simply the US is where the betting action is Even the London Mayoral contest, which will be completed nearly four months before the first…

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Technical Problems

Technical Problems

Hi all, We seem to be having a few technical issues, and comments do not seem to be posting. I’m working on the problem, and hopefully the site should be OK in an hour or so. Thanks, Robert *UPDATE 7:51, I’ve restarted the mysql server, and things seem to be working now. I am going to be upgrading the server handware and software either this week or next. If there will be any downtime, I’ll let people know.*

Are the big donors deserting the Hillary campaign?

Are the big donors deserting the Hillary campaign?

Why has she had to lend $5M of her own money? A developing post-Super Tuesday story this evening on US political sites has been a report that Hillary has had to dip into her own resources to keep her campaign on the the road. It’s been confirmed that in late January, only days before Super Tuesday, that the former first lady made what was described as a “loan” of $5m. It’s being suggested that more money will have to be…

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Could Gord get away with abolishing PMQs?

Could Gord get away with abolishing PMQs?

Would he take a short-term hit for a long-term benefit? Another Wednesday and another PMQs for Gordon Brown to have to endure. He clearly doesn’t like them and being open every seven days to the fierce blasts that Cameron is able to master cannot be very pleasant. Ever since a piece appeared in the Indy a couple of weeks ago about Brown’s views of the weekly ritual I’ve been pondering over whether we are being softened up for a proposal…

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24 hours on the Democratic nominee market

24 hours on the Democratic nominee market

How punters viewed the overnight developments The chart shows the changing betting prices, reflected as implied probabilities, on the Democratic nominee betting market as voting on Super Tuesday came to an end and the results started coming in. What is interesting is that the UK betting has tended to be a bit more pro-Hillary than the two betting arenas which are favoured mostly by Americans – Intrade and the Iowa Electronic Markets. Before we determine a winner from the night…

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So where does Super Tuesday leave the races?

So where does Super Tuesday leave the races?

Will Obama’s find-raising capabilities eventually clinch it? What a night and at the end of it we are still no closer to working out who will be contesting the election in November. McCann did OK but not enough to make his nomination a certainty. Hillary did much better than appeared a couple of days ago and her team will be relieved at the outcomes – particularly in some of the big states. Obama will take comfort that he’s still there…

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Super Tuesday…continuation thread

Super Tuesday…continuation thread

So far (0345 GMT) it’s Clinton: Arkansas, Oklahoma, Tennessee, New York, Massachusetts, New Jersey Obama: Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Alabama, North Dakota, Utah, Kansas, Connecticut, Minnesota McCain: Delaware, Illinois, New Jersey, Connecticut, New York, Oklahoma Romney: Massachusetts, Utah, North Dakota Huckabee: West Virginia, Arkansas, Alabama, Tennessee The latest betting is listed here. Mike Smithson