Super Tuesday continuation thread….
Who’ll have the biggest smile in the morning? Please continue the discussion here. The latest betting is listed here. Mike Smithson
Are you ready for the long night?
Welcome to another election night on PBC This is it – the biggest political night since the 2004 Presidential Election – and it looks set to be a cliff hanger that will continue right through until tomorrow morning – UK time. To help us all this is how Politicalwire sees tonight’s Democratic races:- Advantage Clinton: Arkansas, New York, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Tennessee Advantage Obama: Alabama, Colorado, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Minnesota, Kansas, North Dakota No Clear Favorite: Alaska, Arizona,…
Was today designed solely to make Hillary President?
Should Clinton have been confirmed as nominee this week? If you have any doubt about the planning and sheer determination that has gone into Hillary’s campaign for the White House then you should look at an article at Real Clear Politics by Robert Novak. For the whole point of concertinaing the primary timetable to create “Super Tuesday” was to blast out the competition so that Clinton could effectively secure the nomination this week. Then all the effort could be focused…
Do tactical voters hold the key to Super Tuesday?
Could McCain’s supporters think its safe to switch elections? An aspect of the US primary system that is probably a surprise to many outside the country is the extent to which in many states independents and supporters of the opposing party can decide to vote in a different election. So today, as we finally arrive at “Super Tuesday”, a factor we have to look at is whether this will happen and how it could affect the results. So with John…
Tories shrug off Conway affair in new Populus poll (revised)
Tory lead boosted to 9% in spite of problems The figures from this month’s Populus poll for the Times are just out and show an increase in the Tory lead. The shares are CON 40% (nc): LAB 31% (-2): LD 17% (-2). The Tory share of 40% equals the best the pollster has recorded since the general election and the nine point margin is the best. I go back to the point that I repeatedly raise – that Tory poll…
Will there be a new favourite on Wednesday morning?
…or will Barack’s polling surge turn out to be like New Hampshire? I detect a real sense of nervousness amongst punters about the latest round of US polling ahead of Super Tuesday. After what appeared a certain win for Obama in New Hampshire four weeks ago there has been a, perhaps, natural reluctance to get swept away by the latest moves to Obama in the Democratic race. Yet the growing support for the black Senator from Illinois in both national…
Super Tuesday – it looks like a cliff-hanger
Obama almost catching up in the national polls The above polls, reproduced from Taegan Goddard’s Politicalwire show the latest polling figures from many of the states which will be having their primaries on the day. As can be seen the Clinton-Obama shares in many places are converging. It’s the same picture nationally where the latest Gallup tracking poll shows Clinton locked in a statistical tie with Obama, 46% to 44%. Given that yesterday’s Gallup tracker had Clinton 7% ahead then…
Guest slot: Ben Surtees previews Tsunami Tuesday
So will we be any wiser on Wednesday? Super Tuesday, Super Duper Tuesday, Giga Tuesday, Tsunami Tuesday, The Tuesday of Destiny, even by the standards of the US media there has been a healthy amount of hyperbole used to describe the string primaries and caucuses being staged on Tuesday Febuary 5th. To a certain extent, the hype is justified, while primary campaigns since the 1980’s have seen “Super Tuesdays†with many states holding simultaneous primaries or caucuses none have approached…