Can Michael Martin possibly survive?

Can Michael Martin possibly survive?

could it all come to an end next week? Chris Huhne MP has added his voice to those in Parliament who now consider the Speaker’s days to be numbered. Douglas Carswell MP has tabled an unprecedented motion of No Confidence in the Speaker to be debated and voted upon next week, which has since been publicly supported by Ben Wallace MP. Norman Baker MP has also said on BBC Radio Scotland that he thinks it is “the end of the…

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Is the BNP rise overstated?

Is the BNP rise overstated?

William Hill Politics What sort of regional vote shares would they need? Much has been made of the rise of the BNP, and their chances of winning seats in the European Parliament. We’ve seen some commentators notice that Labour’s PEB is no longer a beacon of multi-culturalism, and others decide to start anti-BNP campaigns. Whilst the issue of immigration and race relations has fallen off as fear about the Economy and Crime has grown, there can be no doubt that…

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Is this why a Brown-led Labour will get slaughtered?

Is this why a Brown-led Labour will get slaughtered?

Is Gord just too inflexible for the modern age? A few weeks ago (before Smeargate) I bumped into an old mate who is now part of the team at Brown Central. He said he knew I wasn’t a great fan of Brown but what did I think of his man’s chances? I responded by saying that I thought Brown would get slaughtered in a general election campaign simply because he wasn’t nimble enough. In these days of 24/7 media coverage…

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YouGov EU poll: It’s a three-way tie for second place

YouGov EU poll: It’s a three-way tie for second place

Should you take the 6/4 that the LDs will beat Labour? As I suggested in the previous thread there was some uncertainty about the Sun’s YouGov figures for the EU elections because of different numbers in the article and in the chart. I’ve now got clarification from the firm’s Peter Kelner who writes: “The Sun graphic shows all naming a party; the text shows “certain to votes”. (Lib dems are also on 19% – so three-way tie for 2nd place!)”….

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Could Labour be heading for 3rd place in the Euros?

Could Labour be heading for 3rd place in the Euros?

The Sun Is it time to re-think June 4th betting? After arguing yesterday that UKIP that UKIP were unlikely to perform as well on June 4th as they did in 2004 I’m afraid I’m going to have to eat my words. For while we were all putting the focus on YouGov’s 22% share for Labour in a general election we over-looked the figures from an EU election voting intention question as well. There is a discrepancy between the body copy…

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Could this YouGov poll be the trigger for change?

Could this YouGov poll be the trigger for change?

The Sun CON 41(-2) LAB 22(-5) LD 19 (+1) YouGov: Labour drop to record low A sensational new poll for the Sun tomorrow shows very starkly the damage that is being done to Labour by the latest crisis – MPs expenses. Coming on top of everything we’ve seen in the past five weeks the question has to posed as to how long Gordon can stay at the top. Will numbers like this, if repeated in other polls over the weekend,…

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It’s the Thursday night PB sleaze thread

It’s the Thursday night PB sleaze thread

Telegraph online The Telegraph exposes go into a second week This is all getting into a regular routine. First we get the teaser, then the big story to be followed a little later on by other MPs who are in the same broad category. So what do we know about tonight? This is from the paper:- “The latest disclosures from the Telegraph on MPs’ expenses show questionable claims submitted by a minister working in one of the highest offices of…

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How good is the LAB>UKIP bet?

How good is the LAB>UKIP bet?

Should you be spending big in the William Hill market? For political gamblers there’s nothing like an election in three weeks time to get the juices running for so often the outcomes that we spend hours talking about and debating are such a long way ahead. Not so the June 4th elections. And the big bookies are getting geared up. William Hill got a lot of punters very excited with their LAB>UKIP market which opened with 7/4 being offered on…

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