Two June 4th prediction surveys

Two June 4th prediction surveys

What will Labour’s GB vote share be in the June 4th Euro Election 0 – 16% 17 – 18% 19 – 20% 21 – 22% 23 – 24% 25 – 26% 27 – 100%    The second poll has now been fixed What will be the turnout across the UK in the June 4th Euro election? 0 – 20% 21 – 25% 26 – 28% 29 – 31% 32 – 35% 36 – 38% 39 – 100%   

Can Dave go on “out-Blairing” Tony Blair?

Can Dave go on “out-Blairing” Tony Blair?

Guardian.co.uk Has he created another 24 hours not talking about Europe? I am coming to the view that when it comes to tapping into the public mood and dominating the news agenda David Cameron is even smarter than the past-master, the leader that Labour foolishly sacked, Tony Blair. Just consider what’s happening at the moment. There’s just one week and one day left in the campaign for five yearly election of members of the European Parliament and yet another news…

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Will you be profiting from the great turnout gamble?

Will you be profiting from the great turnout gamble?

Is this the nearest thing to a certainty that you’ll get? In political betting I am always wary of the term certainty but sometimes an opportunity arises when I’m convinced that what I’m betting on will come about. The last time I had this feeling was nearly a year ago when Ladbrokes had a market up on whether Labour would lose its deposit in the Henley by election. To me it seemed a certainty that Labour would get less than…

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An afternoon with Alistair Campbell

An afternoon with Alistair Campbell

What would the great spinner have done about Johnson? This thread has been “prepared earlier” because I’m off to Wembley for the Championship play-off final between my team, Burnley, and Sheffield United. This’ll be the third time that the “Clarets” have played at Wembley since 1962 and I will have been there on every occasion. Burnley’s most well-know supporter is, of course, Alistair Campbell and I’m sure he’ll be amongst the crowds this afternoon as will the town’s MP, the…

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Expenses: It’s back to exposing the Cabinet again

Expenses: It’s back to exposing the Cabinet again

Telegraph Will this re-ignite the anger? After a period when the Telegraph’s daily revelations about MPs expenses were starting to get a bit routine the paper has turned once again to the detailed affairs of the cabinet – folk you would think would have the political skills to know better. Thus the main lead in the Telegraph this morning looks as though it could have real damage on ministers beyond the standard outrage of what they and other MPs have…

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Will the Sunday Express win the first PB Polling Dunce award?

Will the Sunday Express win the first PB Polling Dunce award?

What do we think of this attempt to gauge public opinion? This weekend, the penultimate before the June 4th Euro elections, I am please to announce the launch of PB Polling Dunce award which has been specially designed by Marf. The objective, I hope, is self-explanatory. And our first nominee is the Sunday Express for its piece below on Westminster constituency surveys which were carried out in Salford, Worcester and Basildon and according to the paper the results were very…

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Has the Speaker saved Brown’s bacon?

Has the Speaker saved Brown’s bacon?

Will the election for Speaker prevent a Leadership contest? Michael Martin. Remember him? He used to be Speaker of the House of Commons until he resigned last week. Except of course he didn’t: he’s still there, forgotten but not gone. All he announced was that he would be resigning on June 21. There are some perfectly good reasons for having a delay of four weeks. For one thing, it allows members the opportunity to discuss potential candidates and to give…

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Vote Green to stop the BNP?

Vote Green to stop the BNP?

Has Ben Tallis made a huge mistake? The above video I found courtesy of a friend who directed me to http://www.stopnickgriffin.org – it’s message is clear: Vote Green as the best chance to stop Nick Griffin from being elected. Clearly, this was a compelling argument for at least one person, as Ben Tallis (top of the list for Libertas in the North West) has announced that he is endorsing the Green Party in his region. I think this argument is…

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