Will Hannan/NHS end up like the Coulson “revelations”?

Will Hannan/NHS end up like the Coulson “revelations”?

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Is Labour too desperate to find a magic bullet? Looking back over the past few weeks it struck me that there are strong similarities between the opposition attacks on the Daniel Hannan-NHS comments and the response to the Guardian stories at the start of July over what happened at the News of the World when Cameron’s communications chief, Andy Coulson, was editor. With both the core information had been known about for a long period before the story broke. Everybody…

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Should Labour fight the general election like this?

Should Labour fight the general election like this?

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By-elections.co.uk Is there mileage in using some of the C&N rhetoric? Last week I finalised a chapter on by-elections that I’m contributing to a book on the general election that’s coming out in the autumn. During my researches I found this great site which is building up a collection of campaign materials from almost all by-election campaigns of recent times. From going through the literature you can get a real feel for how each of battles progressed and one that…

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Is 4/1 too short for the Next Chancellor to be Labour?

Is 4/1 too short for the Next Chancellor to be Labour?

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How much threat is Darling’s position under? Since the Summer reshuffle when Alistair Darling apparently successfully fought off an attempt to remove him from the Treasury, speculation about his future has died down. Despite that, the odds on the next Chancellor being from the Labour party remain significantly shorter than Labour’s prospects at the next election. The Next Chancellor market on Betfair is not a particularly well traded one but it does have only a small overround so is fairly…

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How good are these ICM polling numbers for Mandy?

How good are these ICM polling numbers for Mandy?

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Sunday Mirror Could he in fact turn some voters off his party? In its coverage of its ICM poll this morning the Sunday Mirror makes the findings about the public’s view of Peter Mandelson the main feature. Those surveyed were asked who they thought “would be best to lead Labour if Mr Brown stood down”. Amongst all voters it was David Miliband on 27%, Jack Straw on 26%, Alas Johnson 15% and Peter Mandelson on 14%. But amongst those voting…

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UPDATE: Conflicting trends from ICM and YouGov

UPDATE: Conflicting trends from ICM and YouGov

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CON 43(+2)) LAB 26 (-1) LD 19(-1) But the changes are all within the margin of error The poll shares above are compared with the past ICM poll which was completed on July 11th and in the Guardian a couple of days later. Although the changes are small and all within the margin of error they will provide a little bit of a boost to Team Cameron and add to the gloom at Brown Central. I’m coming to the view…

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Have Labour and Burnham screwed up the Hannan opportunity?

Have Labour and Burnham screwed up the Hannan opportunity?

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Why did they fail to capitalise on the Tory-Hannan open goal? The events of the past couple of days have underlined what is becoming increasingly apparent: Labour never misses an opportunity to miss an opportunity. I’ve been trying to do a piece on this them but have just discovered the Soho Politico blog which is making all the points I was trying to write but only better. “Labour should have just sat back and watched the reaction to Hannan from…

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Could this new party affect voting in university areas?

Could this new party affect voting in university areas?

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Can they repeat their Swedish successes here? I’ve written before about the Piratpartiet in Sweden, but this week saw the announcement that the Electoral Commission has added to its register of political parties in Great Britain “The Pirate Party UK”. For those not aware, this is an offshoot of the Pirate Party International which aims to reduce the burdens of onerous copyright restrictions (essentially supporting filesharing and reducing duration of copyright), combat the surveillance state, and support freedom of speech….

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