Will the 2009 version become the “bible” for gamblers?

Will the 2009 version become the “bible” for gamblers?

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PoliticsHome The updated mega poll is due within a fortnight I’ve just had word that the fieldwork for the 2009 Politics Home mega marginals poll has been completed and we should get it in early October. It is on the same scale as the 2008 September version which covered more than 34,000 separate online interviews in a total of 238 parliamentary constituencies where the big battles at the next election are going to be fought. The sample was seventeen times…

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Is Pickles winning the “love-bombing” war?

Is Pickles winning the “love-bombing” war?

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Can Pickles entice Lib Dems into voting Tory? This week I’ve been on holiday in Hadrian’s Wall country in Northumberland away from a fast internet connection so I have been unable to catch up on what seems to have been the political broadcasting highlight – the encounter on the Today programme between Tory Chairman, Eric Pickles, and the prominent Lib Dem, Chris Huhne. See this from Harry Phibbs in the Guardian for the details and a description of Chris Huhne’s…

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How’s this going to move after Bournemouth?

How’s this going to move after Bournemouth?

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Is there a case for a Lib Dem sell? The Sporting Index Spread Market on the number of commons seats the parties will win at the general election has seen little movement in recent weeks – but could all that change after the conferences? Whether Nick Clegg manages to put things on a firmer footing in his speech this afternoon remains to be seen but given that this is the last big showcase before the general election the best that…

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Why a CON-LD pact is the only one that’s possible

Why a CON-LD pact is the only one that’s possible

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UKPollingReport Could the party of “fair votes” support the vote losers? One of the hardy annuals of Lib Dem conference week is that people start asking which way Clegg’s party would go in the event of a hung parliament and they held the balance of power. But is this totally irrelevant? For the way the electoral mathematics work means that Labour would only need Lib Dem support for a commons majority if it came behind the Tories in terms of…

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Is the Baroness’s future linked to Brown’s weakness?

Is the Baroness’s future linked to Brown’s weakness?

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BBC News Take the 9/4 that she’ll have to go William Hill have just opened a market on whether the troubled attorney-general, Baroness Scotland, will resign or be sacked before the end of the year. This is not yet available online but you can place the bet over the phone. I was allowed a maximum of £75. The Baroness, of course, is in a spot of bother after being fined £5,000 for employing a housekeeper who was not legally allowed…

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Continuation thread

Continuation thread

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In the Spectator: Are the knives out for Vince? Meanwhile Brown says that Baroness Scotland need not resign, despite being fined £5,000. William Hill quote 9/4 No, 1/3 Yes, for “Will Baroness Scotland remain in her position until the end of 2009?” Double Carpet

Are the Lib Dem trying to “piss into the wind”?

Are the Lib Dem trying to “piss into the wind”?

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Why do they sound as though it’s still 1997? My apologies for the vulgar headline but it seemed the most apt phrase to describe what the Lib Dems have been doing in recent days in not directing all their fire-power on the weak declining party in British politics. For the big dynamic only months away from the general election is the collapse of Labour – which is the mirror of 1997 when it was the collapse of the Tories. Then…

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