Will the BNP get a Question Time polling boost?

Will the BNP get a Question Time polling boost?

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Angus Reid Strategies Is the controversy behind their 3 point polling share? The full data and weightings for the first Politicalbetting/Angus Reid Strategies poll are now available for download here and here and I reproduce part of the main voting intention table above. With future surveys it’s hoped that we’ll be able to make the detailed tables available at about the same time as the headline figures are published. As we get closer to the election I think that this…

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What’ll be the political fall-out from this?

What’ll be the political fall-out from this?

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SkyNews Will the fingers be pointed at Mandy? So it’s happening. The long-threatened postal strike starts tomorrow for an initial two-day walk-out. Quite what it is about is hard to fathom but it looks messy particularly for a government that’s due to be going to the country within the next few months. In what was a rather lacklustre performance at PMQs today Cameron made the action his sole subject for all six of his questions. He seemed to labour his…

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The blues open up a 23 point gap in England

The blues open up a 23 point gap in England

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CON 47 (+8) LAB 24 (-1) LD 21 (-3) How many more marginals does this put at risk? At the start of September we launched the first of the “Battle-Ground England” poll results which are being provided by MORI on an exclusive basis. The comparisons above are with the last MORI poll taken just after the Liberal Democrat conference. What the firm is doing is running a special calculation for PB allowing us to make more specific projections for where…

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More on the new PB poll

More on the new PB poll

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Will it be a good guide of the race to Westminster? Further details of PB’s first poll from Angus Reid Strategies are now available for down-load here. The fieldwork took place online on October 15th and 16th. It’s planned that with future surveys that there will be a much shorter period between the fieldwork ending and the results being published here. There are some key points to note;- Clearly the firm has no track record in UK election polling although…

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And now the first exclusive PB Angus Reid Strategies poll..

And now the first exclusive PB Angus Reid Strategies poll..

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40% 23% 20% A third pollster reports a 17 point Labour deficit Tonight sees the launch of the exclusive new monthly poll by the leading Canadian firm, Angus Reid Strategies for Politicalbetting.com – and the timing could nor be more apt. The main party figures are above. The “others” are UKIP 5%: GRN 3%: BNP 3%: SNP 3%: PC 1%. Extraordinarily the findings, like the ones from Ipsos-MORI and ICM earlier tonight show exactly the same Labour deficit – seventeen…

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The Tory leads drops to 17 points with ICM

The Tory leads drops to 17 points with ICM

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CON 44 (-1) LAB 27 (+1) LD 18 (nc) A second pollster adds to Labour’s gloom The second of tonight’s three polls, ICM’s for the Guardian, is out and shows very little change on the last survey from the firm taken in the immediate aftermath of the Tory conference and David Cameron’s speech. A lot of people assumed that the last figures were down to the conference effect and that once we “got back to normal” then the scale of…

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The blues open up a 17 point lead with MORI

The blues open up a 17 point lead with MORI

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CON 43 (+7) LAB 26 (-2)(+2) LD 19 (-6) Is the conference effect working its way out of the system? The first of three polls that are expected out in the next 12 hours has been published by Ipsos-Mori and shows a sharp change on their last survey taken just after the Lib Dem conference. That last poll had Labour in third place. The big contrast though is with the recent YouGov and ComRes polls which both showed a narrowing…

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How will tactical voting affect seat projections?

How will tactical voting affect seat projections?

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Politics Home Mega Marginals poll Will the LDs do better than the seat calculators? Reflecting on last week’s Bedford election, which was bigger in terms of votes cast than all but two of the by elections in this parliament, the readiness of many Labour voters to ditch their allegiance and vote for the party best placed to beat the Tories was a key factor. This is a reminder of how potent this is likely to be at the general election…

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