YG daily poll: The Sun Apr 6 Apr 5 CONSERVATIVES 40% 41% LABOUR 32% 31% LIB DEMS 17% 18% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5.5% 6.5% So just MOE changes on the first day of the campaign The YouGov daily poll of the campaign, for tomorrow’s Sun is now it and has only margin of error changes on last night. But Labour will be pleased to to have close the gap if only by a bit and the Tories…
Is Brown/Cameron/Clegg doing well-badly as PM/CON leader/LD leader ..” Well Badly Net Change BROWN 33% (33) 61% (61) -28 0 CAMERON 53% (49) 36% (39) +17 +7 CLEGG 54% (47) 23% (27) +31 +11 YouGov Sunday Times: FW Apr 3 (Mar 19) Nick and Dave advance while Gord stands still The latest leader approval ratings numbers from YouGov are just out and show that Cameron and Clegg continue to improve while Gordon Brown remains where he was a fortnight ago.
What’s the £5.50 gallon going to do to “Motorway Man”? A combination of budgets measures and the declining pound has forced the price of petrol up and it now stands at just on £1.20 a litre or £5.50 a gallon equalling the highest level ever. Historically there’s been a link between the price of petrol and Labour’s position in the polls. Look at the latest version of this chart that we’ve featured before. Whatgas Given that one of the key…
Ladbrokes prediction – a Tory majority of eight Mike Smithson
Message from Robert: I will be doing some minor site maintenance today ahead of the expected announcement this afternoon. Hopefully there won’t be any downtime. But, if there is, you know who to blame. Brand Democracy/YG Mar 19 CON LAB LD OTH 45-54 year olds 32% 38% 17% 13% 55-64 year old 39% 27% 19% 15% All 55 and over 46% 24% 16% 14% All 65 and over 49% 23% 15% 13% All 18+ 37% 31% 19% 13% The over…
YG daily poll: The Sun Apr 5 Apr 2 CONSERVATIVES 41% 39% LABOUR 31% 29% LIB DEMS 18% 20% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6% 6.5% What do we make of the conflicting figures? So there we have it – the YouGov daily poll where the fieldwork finished this evening showing very different numbers from the Guardian/ICM poll earlier with the margin down to just four points. But like ICM the Labour share has increased with YouGov – so…
Opinium (Daily Express) Apr 5 Mar 29 CONSERVATIVES 39% 38% LABOUR 29% 28% LIB DEMS 17% 16% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6.5% 6.5% And the Tories move up one to 39 A second poll is just out, from new kid on the block Opinium, and this has the gap between the blues and the reds still at ten points although both move up one. I don’t have the Lib Dem figure yet. The firm is a new pollster…
ICM – Guardian Apr 4 Mar 31 CONSERVATIVES 37% 38% LABOUR 33% 29% LIB DEMS 21% 23% LAB to CON swing from 2005 3.5% 6% Could this mean that the red team will get most seats? There’s a new ICM poll for the Guardian just out where the fieldwork was carried out over the holiday weekend. The numbers, with changes on last week’s Guardian/ICM poll show a sharp increase in the Labour numbers to the point where it’s [possible that…