Starmer is in tune with the nation

Starmer is in tune with the nation

One of Labour’s flagship policies for government is to strip private schools of their charitable status. I’m slightly supportive of this policy and I say that as somebody who benefitted from a private education I would recommend it to any parent but I do wonder if these tax breaks could be better spent elsewhere in education. Recently it was announced ‘Almost 600 [state] schools in England are undergoing urgent structural checks. Many more unaware of danger of collapse posed by…

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My guess: Sunak will wait until 2025 for the election

My guess: Sunak will wait until 2025 for the election

Starmer could have to wait 18 months to become PM Given the way the polls are going it is hard to see any sort of recovery in the months before the general election. The public appears to have made up its mind about Sunak and his party and there are very few positive signs for the Tories. The July 20th byelections will likely add another nail in the coffin and there have been reports that he himself has given up….

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Punters think the Tories will lose ALL the July by-elections

Punters think the Tories will lose ALL the July by-elections

We are only nine days away from the July 20th by-elections where the Tories are defending three seats. Mid-Bedfordshire, as we have noted several times, might never happen because the Tory incumbent, Nadine Dorries, has yet to resign. As can be seen punters think that the Tories are going to be in for a dreadful night a week on Thursday. It is hard to dispute the current betting odds. The only oddity is Mid Beds where punters have the LDs…

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There’s a lot for the Tories to worry about in latest R&W poll

There’s a lot for the Tories to worry about in latest R&W poll

I very much like this R&W chart because it gets to the heart of what the next election will be about and Starmer continues to get markedly better ratings than Sunak. I still wonder if Sunak could be in danger. Tory MPs faced with the real prospect of losing their seats might just start to panic and the PM could be facing a crisis. One thing I think is becoming clear is that Sunak will likely wait before he calls…

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Biden is slipping in the WH2024 nominee betting

Biden is slipping in the WH2024 nominee betting

As the betting chart shows there has been a marked fall in the odds of Joe Biden winning his party’s nomination. A big question that is now being increasingly raised is his age as in this article in The Atlantic under the heading “Step aside Joe Biden – The president has no business running for office at age 80. We are less than five months away from the first primaries and I wonder whether the incumbent is going to face…

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Silence is not golden

Silence is not golden

On 15 June 2022 the Mayor of London issued a refreshed version of his Violence Against Women and Girls Strategy 2022 – 2025. Despite its unfortunate title (does the Mayoral budget no longer run to proofreaders? Couldn’t the word “Reducing” have been shoehorned into the name?) the document and strategy are about reducing such violence, an admirable and necessary aim. The very first page makes it clear that its target is “the perpetrators of abuse and violence“. It states clearly…

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The irresistible force meets the movable object?

The irresistible force meets the movable object?

Like Adam Drummond my attention was first drawn to the ratings of Liz Truss. I’ve never taken drugs but the Liz Truss premiership is what I’ve imagine an acid trip would feel like but I digress. The thing that also should be noted is just how bad Sunak is doing compared to major party leaders elected since 2010 who lasted more than 49 days whereas Starmer is doing better than Corbyn and Miliband at the equivalent stage. In the last…

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