politicalbetting.com

Like many I thought Sunak would hold the election in October/November 2024 but I am now leaning towards an election held next May, there’s a few advantages for holding it then. Using the budget as tax cutting launchpad for the election campaign. Avoids having an election taking place with the energy prices dominating the agenda during the colder months. It isn’t difficult to imagine OFGEM increasing the price cap next October. An autumn election would see Labour highlighting the second…

Read More Read More

As George W. Bush said ‘You can fool some of the people all the time, and those are the ones you want to concentrate on.’ TSE

What a time to be alive, never did I think I would be doing a thread header on whether the Home Secretary called a town a shithole. I cannot see any next cabinet minister to leave/Cleverly exit date markets but if there were I suspect I’d be backing Cleverly to survive this story. In politics perceptions sometimes matter than the facts and this will cement the belief that the Tories are full of arrogant out of touch elitists even if…

Read More Read More

I really want to know who shot JFK. The magic bullet theory is utter mince, anybody who believes that really shouldn’t have the vote, or leave the house alone. TSE

A lot politically is resting on today’s budget This is almost certainly the last budget before the general election and Hunt needs to get some good headlines on the way his proposals will impact on voters. This is always a tough one and LAB will be working hard this afternoon to find the negative messages. Remember the “Dementia Tax” not long ago. Just getting some LAB leads down to single figures would be a big boost for the Tories. The…

Read More Read More

For those betting on Nigel Farage winning this year’s I’m A Celebrity, Get Me Out Of Here this polling from YouGov will make for sobering reason. I’d sooner trap an appendage in a door than watch this show at the best of times and I am not watching this year’s edition, despite the opportunity to see Nigel Farage’s bottom but I may bet on it based on these YouGov ratings, those of you who watch this show let me know…

Read More Read More

In the WH2024 betting a recent mover has been Niki Haley – the former Governor of South Carolina and US Ambassador to the UN. She. is now second to Trump in the nomination betting and is starting to get more media attention. Many Republicans are now seeing her as the one who could replace Trump as the nominee for next year’s election. This is a massive ask of her and the polling continues to show that Trump is doing very…

Read More Read More