“Who’s to blame for the cuts?” (YouGov) All voters CON voters LAB voters LD voters CON-LD coalition 17 1 39 5 Last Labour government 47 93 6 65 Both 20 3 29 13 Neither 11 2 24 11 “Last Labour government bears most responsibility” (ComRes) All voters CON at GE LAB at GE LD at GE Agree 59 87 32 56 Disagree 36 12 63 40 Will EdM’s party floundering on the “blame” issue? As I have been arguing during…
Poll/publication End date CON (%) LAB (%) LD (%) ICM/NOTW 22/10/10 40 36 16 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 07/10/10 38 34 18 ICM/Guardian 29/09/10 35 37 18 ICM/Guardian 15/08/10 37 37 18 ICM/Guardian 25/07/10 38 34 19 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 24/06/10 41 35 16 ICM/Guardian 20/06/10 39 31 21 ICM/Guardian 23/05/10 39 32 21 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 13/05/10 38 33 21 And the LD total is sharply in contrast with YouGov There’s a new ICM poll just out for tomorrow’s News of the World…
Would Cameron have won an overall majority? There’ve been lots of counter-factuals around today following this snippet from the Indy’s Andrew Grice:- “Last Thursday was ringed in my diary with the words “general election?” I pencilled it in when the May election resulted in a hung parliament and there seemed every chance that a minority Conservative government would soldier on until David Cameron asked for a proper mandate and a second election…” The main argument against there being an overall…
David Cameron David Cameron “doing well/badly (YouGov) All % CON voters LAB voters LD voters Well 54 98 14 76 Badly 39 2 80 19 Don’t know 7 0 5 4 Ed Miliband Ed Miliband “doing well/badly (YouGov) All % CON voters LAB voters LD voters Well 34 20 67 33 Badly 32 45 12 37 Don’t know 34 35 21 19 Nick Clegg Nick Clegg “doing well/badly†(YouGov) All % CON voters LAB voters LD voters Well 38 72…
Did the opposition over-egg the imminence of the cuts? Now that this week’s spending review has been and gone, some people might be surprised to find that not only does the world continues to turn but pretty much everything else carries on as before, for now. Certainly, there will be restrictions on spending and some functions of government will find their budgets under a lot of strain – but not yet. Likewise, there are tax rises in the pipeline (literally…
Whatever the outcome could the judgement set the standards? Exactly two weeks from today the judges in the Phill Woolas case will give their judgements on the way he and Labour carried out their campaign to hold onto Oldham East and Saddleworth. This is the first case of its kind over a Westminster seat in nearly a century and the judgement is likely to set the standards for future elections. For if the verdict goes against the ex-Labour minister who…
YouGov 23/10/10 All 18-24 25-39 40-59 60 plus CON 41 35 38 39 47 LAB 40 44 43 41 36 LD 10 12 11 10 8 And the older you the more you are likely to vote Just look at the age splits from the latest YouGov poll. Labour is leading in every segment up to the age of 59. Then the 60 plus groups come in and there’s a massive margin for the Tories. Funny that – we oldies…
The Docklands 24 Will Labour’s NEC act against Ken? The big election news overnight was the result of the contest for the elected mayor of the London Borough of Tower Hamlets and the overwhelming defeat of the official Labour candidate in an area where the party has traditionally been very strong. This is the biggest election there’s been since Ed Miliband became leader a month and the failure of the party to win can only be regarded as a big…