Counting is taking place and the results are coming in. The best site to track the results is here. The turnout is 42% and it looks as though NO will secure at least 60% of the vote. I’m waiting for the Bedford Mayoral race result which has been fought like a parliamentary by-election between the Tories and the Lib Dems. The first round of voting is over and now the second preferences are being counted. Mike Smithson
Welsh Constituency Result Result YouGov final poll YouGov Exit poll May 5 CON 25.0 20.0 21 LAB 42.3 47.0 44 LD 10.6 8.0 11 PC 19.3 18.0 17 I have not got the aggregate data on the regional list votes yet but will update when that becomes available. My understanding is that this is the first election for the Welsh assembly which has been regularly polled by YouGov and I sense that the firm will be disappointed with the outcome…
More of Marf’s work can be found at LondonSketchbook.com. Original and prints of all Marf’s PB cartoons are available for sale and make great presents. I’ve got a couple adorning my office. Mike Smithson
What’ll happen in the Yellow-Blue encounters? Above is a brief snapshot from the BBC site of what has been an appalling night for the LDs, a poor night for Labour in Scotland and a great night for the SNP. North of the border the projection from the BBC is that the SNP could have an overall majority which is a massive turnaround on what it looked like on April 20th. It is extraordinary that just fifteen days ago Labour was…
For the Lib Dems this has been a terrible night in the battles with Labour. What we haven’t got yet is news of the LD-CON battles. From a betting perspective the night is looking great. With SNP “most seats” bets from 7/2 to 8/13 my bank balance is going to look very nice. Mike Smithson
What’ll be the size of the red wedge after tonight? Whenever you talk of gains and losses in local elections the critical factor is the starting point – how many seats that are up for election are held by the respective parties. The last time most of those council seats that are being fought over today was in 2007 – when Labour had a pretty poor year coming out with just over 17% of the seats being contested. The Tories,…
Cast your vote in the quickie election day poll While we wait for some hard news let’s speculate about the Great 2011 Polling Race. The next twenty-four hours or so are going to be pretty tense for the four polling organisations that carried out regular AV surveys as well as a final week poll. Their projected outcomes – a NO victory – are not in doubt but which one will be nearest to the vote share? There is enormous kudos…
It does look like there’ll be an exit poll YouGov has been polling during the days asking how people have voted and I know that the firm’s deputy head of political polling, Anthony Wells, is at BBC TV centre from where the results programme will be broadcast. So not long to wait. UPDATE: Just heard that there is NO YouGov exit poll. I was adding 2 and 2 together and making five. Sorry folks. More of Marf’s work can be…