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What are the reshuffle risks for Ed?

6/10/2011 Editor Comments 0 Comment

Henry G runs the rule over a possible Labour frontbench shake-up With rumours of an imminent Labour Shadow Cabinet reshuffle itâ€™s worth examining the opportunities and risks for Labour. Ed Miliband is in a stronger position to dispense patronage than previous Labour leaders in Opposition now he has the ability to appoint who he wishes from the full ranks of the Parliamentary Labour Party. With this freedom comes added risks and the likelihood of net disappointment for many MPs. Reshuffles…

Into the small hours with the NightHawks cafe…

5/10/2011 Editor Comments 0 Comment

Following a “Conservative day” here on PB, tomorrow we have a “Labour day”. HenryG will kick off with a look at a possible Shadow Cabinet reshuffle, followed by Sean Fear examining Labour’s polling position. Double Carpet www.electiongame.co.uk Twitter @electiongame

The big speech – open thread

5/10/2011 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

With Mike Smithson on holiday there are fewer thread headers – but PB’s “Big Conversation” continues. Welcome to this afternoon’s open thread.

David Cameron: the second most popular prime minister?

5/10/2011 Editor Comments 0 Comment

Mark Gill looks at the PM’s ratings ahead of today’s speech Prime minister David Cameron goes to Manchester as the second most popular of the last five prime ministers at the stage of their second party conferences. In Ipsos MORIâ€™s September 2011 survey Cameronsâ€™s approval ratings were 39% satisfied and 52% dissatisfied, giving a net score of -13. This compares favourably against the -45 net approval for Brown (in Sept 2008), -27 for Major (in Sept 1992) and -23 for…

Another “late licence” at PB’s NightHawks Cafe…

4/10/2011 Editor Comments 0 Comment

After the announcement of Christie not joining the GOP nomination race, and ahead of Cameron’s speech tomorrow, there’s also been a poll from Opinium: Lab 40 (+4) Con 33 (-) LD 9 (-) Others 18 (+4) Thanks again to Marf for the cartoon and to all the contributors helping to keep PB going while Mike is in AndalucÃa. Double Carpet www.electiongame.co.uk @electiongame

Christie is out – so who benefits?

4/10/2011 Editor Comments 0 Comment

Washington Post What will be the impact of this on the GOP race?

PB Conference talk – open thread

4/10/2011 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

While Mike Smithson is on holiday there’ll be fewer thread headers – but PB’s “Big Conversation” will continue. Welcome to this afternoon’s open thread.

Will this latest polling put more pressure on EdM?

4/10/2011 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

CON/Dave take 6% lead in YouGov’s forced choice question One polling finding which doesn’t usually attract much attention is the fortnightly forced choice question which is put by YouGov. Here respondents are asked: “If you had to choose, which would you prefer to see after the next election, a Conservative government led by David Cameron or a Labour government led by Ed Miliband?” You’d expect there to be close correlation between responses here and voting intention. Not always so. In…