politicalbetting.com

Why the mismatch with the nomination betting? The Georgia businessman, Herman Cain, who is involved in a battle over past allegations of sexual harassment, is continuing to lead the polling of likely primary voters for the Republican party nomination for the White House. The latest, from Rasmussen, has Cain with 26%, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney on 23% and the big mover, ex-House Speaker Newt Gingrich at 14% support. No other GOP contender is in double figures. The initial assumption…

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News of another Dirty Dicks gathering for PBers Thanks again to Fat Steve for fixing this but we’ve got another Dirty Dicks gathering scheduled for Thursday December 1st from about 6.30. If you like we can think of this as the PB NightHawks cafe coming alive. Dirty Dicks is a pub directly opposite the main entrance of Liverpool Street station in the City of London. For those who can’t wait and want to continue PB’s big conversation here’s tonight’s PB…

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Would Ed Miliband go along with that? A new poll by TNS-BMRB has come up with what seem to be remarkable figures about the view of Labour voters towards a hung parliament. Over half said that they would rather go into opposition than form a coalition government with either of the other parties. This was, as can be seen from the chart, more than twice the number who would be happy to see a coalition. If Labour do fall short…

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Is the betting exchange politically illiterate? Yesterday the betting exchange, Betfair, closed down it’s election date betting markets and voided all wagers. All money was handed back to punters. The firm’s reasons were set out in an email:- “Dear Michael We are contacting you in reference to bets that you had matched on the – Next UK General Election – Election Date Month & Year Markets. The rules for the above markets were based on the government, in its usual…

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Henry G Manson on the government’s proposal The news today of a significantly improved offer towards public sector pensions means that large-scale strike action on 30 November is now considerably less likely than it has been. If it does prove to be the case then their will be collective sighs of relief across many quarters. From the trade union side the unions will still maintain plans for strike action. This is understandable. They will be keen to wait for the…

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If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints, please contact her at marfcartoons@btinternet.com

..seriously underestimating their opponent The Guardian’s Polly Toynbee caused quite a few guffaws yesterday following her piece suggesting that Ed Miliband had a good chance of winning the 2015 general election. Since that was written we’ve had two polls – ComRes and the latest YouGov – showing Labour with four and six percent leads, both sufficient even with the planned boundary changes to produce a very healthy majority. The big hope that you hear from the blue team is that…

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Your chance to join PB’s overnight conversation. Meanwhile tonight’s YouGov daily poll has: CON 35%, LAB 41%, LD 9% – so a 6 point Labour lead compared with just two points last night. @MikeSmithsonPB