politicalbetting.com

And does the speaker make it worse? It was inevitable, I suppose, given the dreadful economic forecasts yesterday, and the strike today that PMQs would be noisy and angry. Things are getting very polarised. As to who won it depends on what you consider important? In terms of the media coverage Cameron’s description of his opponent as “Irresponsible, left wing and weak” is going to make the headlines. This was the PM using bluster to deal with a sustained series…

Read More Read More

Is that the challenge for the unions As well as the straight “do you support the strike” questions there’s a fair bit of other data that gives a pointer as to how successful today’s day of action will be. TNS-BMRB had just 12% saying they will be affected a lot and only 4% of private sector workers claim to know a lot about why the strikes are happening. So the unions would seem to have a big challenge getting their…

Read More Read More

Who’s going to come out of this on top? With the big strike on public sector pensions due to start in only a few hours it’s quite hard from the polls to work out how the public actually feel. Some surveys, like TNS-BMRB, this afternoon has support evenly split between the strikers and the government (40% vs. 37%). Other polls, notably YouGov and ComRes have those opposed to the strikes in the the lead. Thus YouGov at the weekend had…

Read More Read More

If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints, please contact her at marfcartoons@btinternet.com

Farage’s party at just 3% in ComRes phone poll There’s a new phone poll out from ComRes for the Independent. The figures are, with changes on the firm’s last phone poll, CON 37%(+3): LAB 39%(+1): LD 10%(-4): OTH 14%. This is the first telephone national voting intention poll since the Survation survey on Saturday which had UKIP on 11% – just one point behind the Lib Dems. Although the Lib Dems slipped back sharply in this latest survey they still…

Read More Read More

Welcome to the first party since Disqus!! The regular PB get-togethers at the Dirty Dicks pub, just opposite Liverpool Street station in London, have been attracting more and more posters and lurkers. It’s a great chance to put faces to names and to chew over the issues of the day. Our pre-Christmas party is this Thursday starting at about 6.30pm. Fat Steve (why he calls himself that I don’t know) has arranged yet again that an area at the on…

Read More Read More

Betfair Politics Has the red team got the wrong candidate? The chart shows the trend in Betfair prices in next May’s battle for the mayor of London in which Ken will be trying to win his old job back. I write “trend” which in this case means no real movement. Apart from a little drop for Boris six weeks ago from which he quickly recovered the figures have remained remarkably consistent. Punters rate this as a 65-35 battle. Given how…

Read More Read More