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Can he survive if his plans are scrapped? According to the Guardian ConservtiveHome will be publishing an editorial today calling for Andrew Lansley’s NHS bill to be scrapped. The report by Patrick Wintour and Juliette Jowit goes on: “It is understood that Conservative Home has been urged to make the call by three cabinet members who believe David Cameron is not listening on the issue. One source said: “We have almost been instructed to write this.” It is extraordinary that…

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Once again welcome to PBs regular overnight thread where the emphasis is on the informal. After staying up all night on Tuesday I’m still a bit knackered and won’t be joining the conversation – but have a good evening. Mike Smithson @MikeSmithsonOGH Is it now ConHome versus Lansley’s NHS changes? Can the healthsec survive if the plans are scrapped? bit.ly/y99RIG — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) February 10, 2012

Betfair Politics The chart shows Betfair’s changing prices on which party will win the November White House race. The graph says it all – since the Republican nomination started in the first week of January the betting has moved more and more towards Barack Obama and, as I write, the price is 8/15. There have recently been one or two good pieces of economic news for the White House The latest unemployment numbers were a real positive. A big factor,…

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The Guardian’s Polly Toynbee tweet Sunday February 5th Vote here at the BMJ site on whether the NHS and Social Care Bill should be withdrawnbmj.com — Polly Toynbee (@pollytoynbee) February 5, 2012 Press Association report 8 February 2012 02:54 “..More than 90% of readers of the British Medical Journal (BMJ) believe the Government’s health reforms should be scrapped, according to a poll. Of 2,947 votes cast on bmj.com over the last week, 2,706 said the reforms should go while 241…

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Well done to the betting exchange The big political betting news tonight is that the disputed Iowa caucus markets has now been settled by Betfair who have paid out to Santorum punters. This will have cost them a fair packet because they originally settled in favour of Romney backers after the numbers on the night pointed to him having won the state by just eight votes. This wasn’t the certified result and by the time the process of verification had…

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My 100/1 shot wins Colorado It’s been a dramatic, and for me enormously profitable, night in the US election campaign. Three states were up for grabs in GOP race and all three went to Rick Santorum. Missouri, which had a non-binding primary, saw the former Pennsylvania senator come in with 55% of the vote to Romney’s 25% Minnestota’s caucuses saw an emphatic victory for Santorum with Ron Paul beating Romney for second place. Most sensational of all Colorado has been…

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Staying up late on Tuesday nights to watch more results in the US election has almost become routine. For me this is a big betting night having got on Santorum in both Minnesota and Missouri at quite nice odds. If the polling is right then I win a very nice sum and the pleasure of having spotted the potential for the ex Senator from Pennsylvania at quite an early stage. I also laid Romney (for non betting folk this is…

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