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Telegraph Getting the new boundaries is Dave/George’s biggest priority Iain Martin has a provocative piece in the Sunday Telegraph in which he asserts that the coalition will break down next year and that Cameron should be preparing for an early election. He argues that the Fixed Parliament Act, setting the date for May 2015, can be circumvented by a commons vote with a two thirds majority. Nowhere in his piece does Martin refer to the boundary changes which, once agreed…

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It looks as though it’ll be an eventful night It’s been caucus day in Nevada in the latest stage of the Republican party process to find the nominee to take the battle to Obama in November. All the signs are that the from-runner, Mitt Romney is going to have a big victory. Nevada borders on Utah and there’s a significant Mormon community. In 2008 it was estimated that a quarter of those taking party in the GOP’s caucuses were Mormons…

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Poll has him beating Obama Rumours of Newt quitting There’s been a pile of activity in the White House race betting following reports that Newt Gingrich might quit after tonight’s Nevada caucuses and a new poll from Rasmussen that has Santorum doing better against Obama than Romney. The poll is the first one ever to have the ex-Pennsylvania Senator beating Obama and, more pointedly, doing better than the GOP front-runner, Mitt Romney. Gingrich has taken the unusual step of announcing…

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Are this year’s most significant UK election on Nov 15? The usual highlight of the electoral year in the UK takes place on the first Thursday in May, which is when the local council elections and devolved parliamentary elections are scheduled, and when general elections have been planned for in recent years. This year, it’s a smaller bunch of English councils than in 2011, a full slate of Scottish and Welsh councils, and of course the London mayorality and Assembly…

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Have a good evebning This is our regular open thread to take PBers through the night. Mike Smithson @MikeSmithsonOGH

Cabinet Minister Ladbrokes odds Party Cheryl Gillan 6/4 CON Andrew Lansley 5/1 CON Vince Cable 6/1 LD Ken Clarke 8/1 CON William Hague 10/1 CON Baroness Warsi 12/1 CON Caroline Spelman 12/1 CON Michael Moore 14/1 LD Theresa May 16/1 CON Iain Duncan Smith 20/1 CON Ed Davey 25/1 LD Owen Paterson 25/1 CON Andrew Mitchell 33/1 CON Lord Strathclyde 33/1 CON Michael Gove 33/1 CON Justine Greening 40/1 CON George Osborne 40/1 CON Danny Alexander 40/1 LD Eric Pickles…

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Joey Jones at LibDem retreat in Eastbourne confirms that Chris Huhne will be charge. Huhne expected to resign from Cabinet — adamboulton (@adamboultonSKY) February 3, 2012 Huhne speeding D-Day. I still love the fact that Aussie slang for a fast driver is…. ‘a hoon’. f24.my/xItDqA — Paul Waugh (@paulwaugh) February 3, 2012 Huhne and his ex wife, Vicky, due to be told the news in 10 minutes. Will it leak out? — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) February 3, 2012 Bookies’ odds…

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