.. And in London Boris is back on top It’s been a very big day of polling both in the US and in London. A few weeks ago two pollsters, ComRes and YouGov, both had Ken winning back City Hall by 51-49. Now there’s a new YouGov which has the same figures but the other way round. Boris is winning 51-49. This is all margin of error stuff and the big conclusion is that the race looks very tight. There’s…
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SkyNews What a price to remain in the Euro The big story in Europe overnight has been the Greek parliament’s decision to adopt an austerity package and the riots that were taking place while discussion continued. The plan means that another 150,000 public sector workers will lose their jobs and the country’s minimum wage is being cut by a huge 22%. On Wednesday Eurozone finance ministers todecide whether the Geeek moves are enough to allow a 130bn euro bailout package…
Have a great evening. Mike Smithson @MikeSmithsonOGH Recent Threads
… Can we read anything into the betting? BETTING HAS been suspended on the ‘Next MP to leave Cabinet’ market amid a sustained gamble on Andrew Lansley according to Ladbrokes. The firm says is has had to temporarily suspend bets on him to leave following an overnight punt despite the PM coming out in support of his Health Minister. Lansley’s latest odds of being the next MP to leave were 5/6 before suspension with embattled Welsh Secretary of State Cheryl…
Is the system being gamed to by-pass the voters? After his three disastrous defeats on Tuesday Mitt Romney ended up on top, by just 194 votes, in the Maine caucuses overnight just ahead of Ron Paul. The state neighbours Massachusetts so Mitt was expected to do well but it was always clear that Ron Paul was a serious threat. The total number of voters in the entire state was just 5,594 and the split was Mitt 39%, Paul 36%, Santorum…
Will this be Ron Paul’s night in Maine? The state nominating contests are coming thick and fast at the moment and tonight we should get the result of a Maine caucuses. These have been going on for a week so began before Mitt Romney suffered his three-pronged blow on Tuesday night. The big factor is that turnout is incredibly low which provides a great opportunity for Ron Paul’s hyper-active support base. There’s a good piece here by Mark Blumenthal and…
But will the boost from Tuesday’s election last? There’s a new national poll of Republican primary voters just out and, as can be seen from above, has Rick Santorum taking a huge 15% lead over the former front-runner, Mitt Romney. This is the first full national poll to be reported since Tuesday three nominating contests in Colorado, Missouri and Minnesota which were all won by the ex-senator from Pennsylvania. When asked “If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt…