Will this be Ron Paul’s night in Maine?

The state nominating contests are coming thick and fast at the moment and tonight we should get the result of a Maine caucuses. These have been going on for a week so began before Mitt Romney suffered his three-pronged blow on Tuesday night.

The big factor is that turnout is incredibly low which provides a great opportunity for Ron Paul’s hyper-active support base. There’s a good piece here by Mark Blumenthal and another by Nate Silver.

I’ve got a very little bet on Paul at about 2/1.

Some good news for Romney from the big CPAC conference in Washington. In a straw poll of attendees he got 38%, Santorum 31% and Newt 15% at CPAC

Have a good evening.

Mike Smithson @MikeSmithsonOGH