LAB drops 4 as many more get on the UKIP bus

LAB drops 4 as many more get on the UKIP bus

Farage’s party moves to equal third place slot with the LDs There’s a new voting intention poll out for the Mail on Sunday which has others, including UKIP, at 24% which I believe is a record and suggests a move away from the established parties. The shares are with changes on March: CON 30 (-1): LAB 35 (-4): LD 11 (nc): UKIP 11 (+3). The 30% CON share is the lowest from any pollster for the party since Cameron became…

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Are OTHERS set to do well on May 3rd?

Are OTHERS set to do well on May 3rd?

David Herdson asks: Is now their best chance to breakthrough? The nature of George Galloway’s victory in Bradford West might have been a one-off but the anti-politics mood it fed off is present far more widely. Mike has recently made timely observations that the combined net approval scores for the three leaders with YouGov is at what is probably a record low of -121%, and that despite a rapid drop in government economic trust figures, Labour has barely benefited except…

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ComRes kicks off what could be a terrible Easter for ministers

ComRes kicks off what could be a terrible Easter for ministers

Dave/George/Nick slump to record lows on economic trust Since October 2010 the ComRes polling for ITV news has asked who people trust to lead the country through the current economic situation. The April figures are bad for the coalition:- David Cameron’s trust figure is down five to 31% and the do not trust David Cameron increasing six to 53% George Osborne’s trust figure is just 21% with 60%, up eight from last month, saying they do not trust the Chancellor…

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Could the 45p tax rate have cost the blues a majority?

Could the 45p tax rate have cost the blues a majority?

Has this been the main driver of their ratings dive? As we finally get to the Easter weekend perhaps now is a good time to reflect on the dramatic change in the political climate in the past three weeks when everything that could go wrong seems to have done so for the Tories. To me the most crucial element was the budget with the introduction of the 45 pence tax rate for those at the top of the earning ladder….

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Will full tax disclosure now become the norm?

Will full tax disclosure now become the norm?

Will we follow the US way for candidates? Ken Livingstone has now followed Brian Paddick and Boris Johnson in revealing details of his income and taxes paid following the commitments made in the Newsnight London mayoral debate last night. There’s still a row over what should be made available with the LAB contender demanding that the “full household income” be the basis for the disclosure. I wonder whether the precedent has now been set that so many more contenders for…

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Ken eases to a 29 pc chance after the Newsnight debate

Ken eases to a 29 pc chance after the Newsnight debate

But will Boris be hit by the national Tory collapse? Exactly four weeks from today six million Londoners will get the chance to vote on who will be their elected mayor for the next four years. The is the single biggest election in the British political calendar and all three parties will be striving for a good showing. For the Tories this could be their one bright spot on the night. With Labour moving to double digit national poll ratings…

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Tories drop to lowest YouGov share since the election

Tories drop to lowest YouGov share since the election

And Cameron drops 8pts in YouGov “best PM” ratings Sun/YouGov poll: Lab 42%, Con 32%, L/D 9%, UKIP 8% — Sun Politics (@Sun_Politics) April 4, 2012 Sun/YouGov poll: only 30% say Cameron would “make best PM” – down EIGHT pts in last 2 weeks and lowest since May 2010 — Sun Politics (@Sun_Politics) April 4, 2012 Sun/YouGov poll: Ed Miliband fails to cash in on Cam crisis. Only 19% say he would be “best PM” – up just one pt…

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