Which UK political pollster do you trust most? Angus Reid Comres ICM Ipsos-MORI Populus Opinium Survation TNS BMRB YouGov For the latest polling and political betting news from the US and UK Follow @MSmithsonPB
The first post-Mitchell resignation poll has 52% saying he should quit as an MP as well twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 21, 2012 Amongst the mass of polling overnight for the Sunday papers only one of the surveys, Survation for the Mail on Sunday, was carried out entirely after the Osborne train ticket affair and the resignation of Andrew Mitchell. The voting numbers are bad for for both coalition parties – CON 30/LAB 43/LD 8/UKIP 12. The firm is…
The swing states are getting tighter A number of poor swing state polls for Obama in the past 24 hours has caused me to switch my betting so that whatever happens I win the same amount. I am able to do this because over the last year I’ve traded in and out of different contenders and have what’s described as an all green book at Betfair. The Romney campaign’s TV strategy in the battle-grounds has always been to spend the…
The Mail brings all the negative stories for the government into one common theme. Not good for Number 10. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 20, 2012 Who can’t we trust: a minister or a PC? Andrew Mitchell did not resign because he swore at a policeman. For all that such a comment might be unacceptable, he’d probably have survived had that been all that the story was about. One aspect would have been the jobsworth nature of the officer…
If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints or originals, please contact her here. For the latest polling and political betting news from the US and UK Follow @MSmithsonPB
UPDATED The ITV/Granada picture of George Osborne in 1st class twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 19, 2012 UPDATE – and an hour later Andrew Mitchell resigns The big political story that’s been developing over the past hour or so is that George Osborne was traveling from Wilmslow to Euston this afternoon in the first class carriage when, it is alleged, he only had a standard class ticket. His embarrassment was made worse by the presence in the carriage of…
Henry G Manson on a potential foreign policy clash There are two issues that could potentially propel the Liberal Democrats from the Coalition. The first is Europe. The second is military conflict with Iran. Both are core issues for the handful of Liberal Democrats I knock about with from time to time. While Cameron should be able to limit the stress and strain Europe plays on his coalition by keeping most of his pledges until after this parliament, Iran is…
Gallup used to be the Gold Standard. No more. They need to get busy & solve their problems. — Larry Sabato (@LarrySabato) October 19, 2012 Top GOP pollster on Gallup’s 7-pt Romneylead nationally among likely voters: “There is nothing I am looking at that resembles that data.” — John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) October 18, 2012 Simply put, if Romney were up 7, he’d be advertising in PA, MI, OR, CT and wouldn’t spend a dime in FL. — Sean Trende (@SeanTrende)…