Romney’s big hope is that Tues will see a polling disaster on the scale experienced in Britain at the 1992 election

Romney’s big hope is that Tues will see a polling disaster on the scale experienced in Britain at the 1992 election

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Remember when the pollsters made a hash of the 1992 election. Could that be happening in the US? twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 1, 2012 The night when John Major defied all the predictions As can be seen from the screen-shot above the exit poll at the 1992 UK general election was very much out – as were, with one notable exception, every single campaign poll. Everything pointed in April 1992 to John Major losing and the then 13…

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The deluge of swing-state polling continues:- 21 of them tonight including 4 from Ohio

The deluge of swing-state polling continues:- 21 of them tonight including 4 from Ohio

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21 new swing state polls tonight including 4 from Ohio where Obama’s lead is being sustained pwire.at/YmSVYG twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 31, 2012 Obama’s position in Ohio seems to be being maintained PoliticalWire has 21 swing state polls including a batch fron Ohio. Colorado: Obama 50%, Romney 47% (We Ask America) Colorado: Romney 46%, Obama 45% (Reuters/Ipsos) Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Quinnipiac) Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling) Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 46% (University of…

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The big EU vote – which way will it go? Even the professional pundits can’t agree

The big EU vote – which way will it go? Even the professional pundits can’t agree

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Its a clear choice: vote to allow an extra £4.3 Bn to EU, or back constituents at time of service cuts by saying “No” — Douglas Carswell MP (@DouglasCarswell) October 31, 2012 Government expects to lose EU budget vote specc.ie/TXvV3J — Coffee House (@Spectator_CH) October 31, 2012 If Miliband really wanted to win EU vote he shouldn’t be so aggresively public. Driven wavering Con MPs into Cameron’s arms — Kevin Maguire (@Kevin_Maguire) October 31, 2012 Tory rebels not there yet…

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If the YouGov polling is right the Tories are flying in the face of public opinion and their own voters on wind farms

If the YouGov polling is right the Tories are flying in the face of public opinion and their own voters on wind farms

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Did CON check polling before opposing wind farms. By 55%- 21% voters want more & even CON ones are 49-28% in favour twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 31, 2012 Several papers, including the Mail, are making their big story this morning comments by the energy minister, John Hays on wind-farms.. The Telegraph reports:- “,,,Hayes said that we can “no longer have wind turbines imposed on communities” and added that it “seems extraordinary” they have allowed to spread so much…

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How the White House hopefuls are doing in the Sandy aftermath. Intrade has punters moving to Obama.

How the White House hopefuls are doing in the Sandy aftermath. Intrade has punters moving to Obama.

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Political gamblers on Intrade seem to think Obama’s doing better in the Sandy aftermath than Romnrey. See chart. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 30, 2012 For the latest polling and political betting news from the US and UK Follow @MSmithsonPB

CONFIRMED: The LDs are backing a LAB move to kill off the boundary changes until 2018 at the earliest

CONFIRMED: The LDs are backing a LAB move to kill off the boundary changes until 2018 at the earliest

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Ex-Lib Dem CEO, Lord Rennard, backs move to kill off boundary changes until 2018. @paulwaughpolho.me/RqTNK7 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 30, 2012 This has the backing of Nick Clegg? Thanks to Paul Waugh at PoliticsHome for this but a Labour move in the Lords to put the boundary review back to 2018 is being supported by the ex-Chief Executive of the Lib Dems, Lord (Chris) Rennard. Waugh wondered whether Rennard was acting along on this. I’ve just had it…

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No GDP boost yet for the Tories. LAB has double digit leads in all the latest polls

No GDP boost yet for the Tories. LAB has double digit leads in all the latest polls

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Just a third now blame Labour for the cuts Maybe it’s all too early but in the wake of last week’s news that Britain was out of recession and that the GDP was on the up again there were many who thought that the Tories would get a poll bost. Maybe that will happen but from three surveys from three totally separate pollsters using very different methodologies the signs are that Labour is enjoying a substantial lead. The latest phone…

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