If the YouGov polling is right the Tories are flying in the face of public opinion and their own voters on wind farms

If the YouGov polling is right the Tories are flying in the face of public opinion and their own voters on wind farms

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Did CON check polling before opposing wind farms. By 55%- 21% voters want more & even CON ones are 49-28% in favour twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 31, 2012 Several papers, including the Mail, are making their big story this morning comments by the energy minister, John Hays on wind-farms.. The Telegraph reports:- “,,,Hayes said that we can “no longer have wind turbines imposed on communities” and added that it “seems extraordinary” they have allowed to spread so much…

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How the White House hopefuls are doing in the Sandy aftermath. Intrade has punters moving to Obama.

How the White House hopefuls are doing in the Sandy aftermath. Intrade has punters moving to Obama.

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Political gamblers on Intrade seem to think Obama’s doing better in the Sandy aftermath than Romnrey. See chart. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 30, 2012 For the latest polling and political betting news from the US and UK Follow @MSmithsonPB

CONFIRMED: The LDs are backing a LAB move to kill off the boundary changes until 2018 at the earliest

CONFIRMED: The LDs are backing a LAB move to kill off the boundary changes until 2018 at the earliest

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Ex-Lib Dem CEO, Lord Rennard, backs move to kill off boundary changes until 2018. @paulwaughpolho.me/RqTNK7 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 30, 2012 This has the backing of Nick Clegg? Thanks to Paul Waugh at PoliticsHome for this but a Labour move in the Lords to put the boundary review back to 2018 is being supported by the ex-Chief Executive of the Lib Dems, Lord (Chris) Rennard. Waugh wondered whether Rennard was acting along on this. I’ve just had it…

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No GDP boost yet for the Tories. LAB has double digit leads in all the latest polls

No GDP boost yet for the Tories. LAB has double digit leads in all the latest polls

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Just a third now blame Labour for the cuts Maybe it’s all too early but in the wake of last week’s news that Britain was out of recession and that the GDP was on the up again there were many who thought that the Tories would get a poll bost. Maybe that will happen but from three surveys from three totally separate pollsters using very different methodologies the signs are that Labour is enjoying a substantial lead. The latest phone…

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Just one week to go and an estimated 60m Americans are being affected by Hurricane Sandy

Just one week to go and an estimated 60m Americans are being affected by Hurricane Sandy

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Hurricane Sandy is surely going to have some impact on next Tuesday’s presidential election – the question is what? twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 30, 2012 You know what America *needs* right now? More blogposts assessing the political implications of #Sandy. Really, who gives a fuck about that? — alexmassie (@alexmassie) October 30, 2012 CAN’T BELIEVE METOROLOGISTS USED MATH AND SCIENCE TO PREDICT THIS STORM. THEY MUST BE MAGIC WIZARDS. — Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) October 30, 2012 Reminder: if…

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LAB jumps six points in ComRes phone poll

LAB jumps six points in ComRes phone poll

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LAB jumps 6% to 44% in new ComRes phone poll. See chart twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 29, 2012 The party’s 44% is the best with the firm since the election Labour has moved into its biggest lead over the Conservatives since the general election, according to a ComRes telephone poll for the Independent. David Cameron and Chancellor George Osborne are also seen as out of touch with ordinary people by two-thirds of voters. The survey put CON 33%(-2):…

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Mayor Mallon could give Miliband a Migraine in Middlesbrough

Mayor Mallon could give Miliband a Migraine in Middlesbrough

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Henry G Manson on a possible 2nd LAB by-election defeat There have been a very strong series of by-elections taking place in Labour – held seats over the last couple of years. More than I can recall. This puts a little pressure on the Labour side to win handsomely each time. The Corby by-election has been the exception and gives the party a chance to chalk up a thumping win in a seat the party must win in 2015 if…

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Punters still rate the White House race as a 67-33 chance to Obama

Punters still rate the White House race as a 67-33 chance to Obama

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White House punters are sticking firmly with Obama – see chart for Romney price moves of past 7 days twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 29, 2012 On Betfair alone there have been £11m of matched bets The chart is simply showing the Romney price on Betfair expressed as an implied probability. As can be seen that apart from the Romney bounce on Wednesday ahead of what turned out to be the non-announcement from Donald Trump, things have been static….

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