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Look what happened in the US last month The #WH2012 exit poll data that should worry LAB. 4 years on Bush was getting the blame for the economy not Obama twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 9, 2012 The latest “blame” polling in the UK The latest polling shows LAB still struggling to shake off being blamed for the current spending cuts. See chart. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 9, 2012 Throughout Romney’s abortive bid to become President his…

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What will UKIP’s national vote share be at the next general election? 0-3% 4-5% 6-7% 8-9% 10% or more  &n bsp;   Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news Follow @MSmithsonPB

How much does the UK’s Triple-A credit rating matter? The announcement earlier this week from Fitch – one of the three big credit ratings agencies – that the UK’s triple-A credit rating was only just consistent with the government debt levels projected in the Autumn Statement raises again the prospect that at some point soon, one or other of the will cut it. In one sense – the practical matter of borrowing money – such a move probably would make…

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Can George convince us that lower tax rates produce a higher yield. Will the polls turn for the Tories? twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 7, 2012 When will the Tories get back to their pre-March 2012 budget polling position with ICM – a 3% lead? Before June 30th 2013 Before December 31st 2013 Before June 30th 2014 Before December 31st 2014 Before May 7th 2015 Not until after the general election      For me the most signficant feature…

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