The Lib Dems could cut their losses and leave the Coalition early?

The Lib Dems could cut their losses and leave the Coalition early?

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Henry G Manson on Friday The fallout from the abandonment in boundary changes is already leading to recriminations. The latest upshot from the Conservative Party is to tap into the anger of large donors and target even more Liberal Democrat MPs held seats ahead of 2015. This will delight a number of Conservative MPs and the increasing number apparently frustrated with the Coalition. But it is not without risk. The firm assumption for some time has been that the Coalition…

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LAB YouGov daily poll lead moves back to pre-Cameron EU speech levels. Any bounce seems well and truly over

LAB YouGov daily poll lead moves back to pre-Cameron EU speech levels. Any bounce seems well and truly over

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Today’s LAB YouGov share up to 44% – 12% ahead of CON.Chart shows that the DC EU speech bounce is over twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2013 55% tell Ashcroft that they want a LAB maj or LAB-LD coalition Lord Ashcroft phone poll finds that 55% want a LAB majority or LAB-LD coalition. 45% want CON maj or CON-LD coalition twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2013 Lord Ashcroft poll finds that 30% want to see the…

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The PB local elections special with Ukip strong in one of tonight’s seats

The PB local elections special with Ukip strong in one of tonight’s seats

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Harry Hayfield previews the contests Woolaston and Stourbridge Town (Dudley) Result of most recent council election (2012): Labour 41, Conservatives 30, Greens 1 (Labour overall majority of 10) Last Local Election (2012): Lab 2,714 (39%), Con 2,238 (32%), Lib Dem 913 (13%), UKIP 718 (10%), Green 393 (6%) Labour GAIN from Conservative     The electors of Stourbridge must be thinking there’s a great deal of déjà vu going on. Back in 1997, they were part of the hotly contested Stourbridge…

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Clegg says he intends to stay leader and Ladbrokes make him odds on FAV to hold seat

Clegg says he intends to stay leader and Ladbrokes make him odds on FAV to hold seat

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Nick Clegg tells LBC that he intends to be LD leader after #GE2015. Ladbrokes make him 1/3 FAV to hold Shef Hallam twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 31, 2013 The Ladbrokes Sheffield Hallam betting.bit.ly/c5gpH6 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 31, 2013

LAB YouGov leads seems to be settling down at about 9 percent – a notch down on before the Cameron referendum pledge

LAB YouGov leads seems to be settling down at about 9 percent – a notch down on before the Cameron referendum pledge

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LAB leads remains at 9% with YouGov. The trend is starting to suggest that DC referendum promise not a game-changer. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 31, 2013 Ed Miliband closes gap in YouGov’s Best PM ratings.Cam was 10% ahead – now 8% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 31, 2013 Day to day movements in the polling are being watched very closely at the moment following the Cameron EU speech eight days ago. The latest, this morning, has CON 33:…

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The Marf appeal – more than half way there

The Marf appeal – more than half way there

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Thanks to all who joined me in helping Marf On Monday I reported how for the past five years PB has been enriched by the work of Marf – the site’s cartoonist. Unfortunately the only way we’ve been able to help her financially is though encouraging people to buy originals or prints of her work and allocating part of the proceeds when we’ve had a PB appeal. Now Marf is having to replace much of her technical infrastructure and I’d…

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How to predict the YouGov daily poll BEFORE you go to bed

How to predict the YouGov daily poll BEFORE you go to bed

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If it’s good for the blues you’ll get this before midnight YouGov/Sun poll tonight: Labour’s lead just six points – CON 35%, LAB 41%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 9%. Can Cameron sustain the EU bounce? — Sun Politics (@Sun_Politics) January 28, 2013 If it’s not then you’ll have to wait till 6am for this Update: Labour lead at 9 – Latest YouGov/The Sun results 29th Jan – CON 33%, LAB 42%, LD 11%, UKIP 8%; APP -31 y-g.co/YfuYSG — YouGov (@YouGov)…

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The YouGov LAB lead moves to 9 percent exactly one week after Cameron’s big EU speech

The YouGov LAB lead moves to 9 percent exactly one week after Cameron’s big EU speech

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Was that the Tory EU referendum bounce that was? Today’s LAB lead 9% twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 30, 2013 Was that the referendum bounce that was? At 8am last Wednesday morning we were glued to our TV sets for Camerons’s long promised speech on UK’s relationship with the EU. The promise of an in-out referendum was a big one and something that will could dominate the #GE2015 election campaign. Initially the polls barely moved but then over the…

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