Today’s LAB YouGov share up to 44% – 12% ahead of CON.Chart shows that the DC EU speech bounce is over twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st…

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2013

55% tell Ashcroft that they want a LAB maj or LAB-LD coalition

Lord Ashcroft phone poll finds that 55% want a LAB majority or LAB-LD coalition. 45% want CON maj or CON-LD coalition twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st…

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2013

Lord Ashcroft poll finds that 30% want to see the Lib Dems as part of next government -a LAB-LD or a CON-LD coalition bit.ly/VrzGue

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2013

So two polls overnight – another Michael Ashcroft survey carried out last weekend and the regular YouGov daily poll.

The Ashcroft survey has CON 33%: LAB 38%: LD 11%: Ukip 9%. These figures are better for the Tories than the last such poll in 2012 but this is almost entirely due to #GE2010 CON voters being more likely now to say they would vote for the party. Ashcroft concludes:-

“The Speech, and more importantly the policy it articulated, has made Tories feel better about being Tories. This is not to be sneezed at – but let’s not confuse it with having changed anybody’s mind.”

An interesting finding that hasn’t changed since last year is the 32% saying that they would prefer a CON majority government after the next election – see pie chart above. 38% want a LAB majority while 30% would like to see a coalition involving the Lib Dems.

Mike Smithson

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