Piie chart of a tonight’s ICM poll showing changes on Mar 2012 when CON was 3% ahead & Ukip on just 1% twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 11, 2013 And Ukip down 2 from 9% last month The March ICM poll is just out in the Guardian and shows better numbers for the Tories than last month but still way behind LAB. To put this poll in context in the firm’s survey a year ago, just before George Osborne’s…
Huhne jailed for 8 months — peterwalker99 (@peterwalker99) March 11, 2013 He was “somewhat but not greatly, in my view, more culpable”, judge tells Pryce of Huhne. — peterwalker99 (@peterwalker99) March 11, 2013 Pryce jailed for 8 months — peterwalker99 (@peterwalker99) March 11, 2013 Totally bonkers giving custodial sentences for a crime that hurt no one #Huhne — charlie whelan (@charliewhelan) March 11, 2013 Not sure a society that prioritises locking up MPs and journalists is doing itself any favours….
CON 1500 majority that’ll go LAB 7000: the private poll that’s adding to the blue panic.m.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/… twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 11, 2013 Was the funder Bedford’s MP, Richard Fuller – majority 1353? Last autumn, for the very first time in my life, I took part in telephone political poll. After having written about polling for years this was a unique experience and I’ve been waiting for the survey I took part in to appear. As I recall the…
The Annual National Hunt Racing jamboree starts at Cheltenham next Tuesday. It lasts four days and comprises 27 races, each of which can claim to be of championship quality. Mike has kindly invited me to give a suggestion for each race, as listed below. Please don’t treat these as ‘tips’ in the normal sense. When I do put proper tips up on PB, I have invariably backed them myself. That doesn’t apply to these 27, which at this stage of…
@tobyhelm If these numbers were from ICM,pollster for your sister paper the Guardian, this poll would be sensational.They aren’t. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 9, 2013 Latest YouGov has CON 31, LAB 41, LD 12, UKIP 12 – a LAB lead of 10% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 10, 2013 Unlike YouGov Opinium is only online pollster that takes no steps to ensure politically balanced sample. Doesn’t even ask about GE2010 vote — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 10, 2013 Ukip…
Is there a recovery underway and what effect might it have? After a cold and dark winter, the sight of spring flowers defiantly if tentatively piercing the earth and braving the still chill winds is always something to raise the spirits; a pointer to sunnier days ahead. Â As with nature, so with economics: recoveries from recessions are usually patchy and slow to begin with but there comes a point where despite the bitter blasts from the continent, growth is at…